Hurricane Harbor: Landfall Steinhatchee! WHERE Is Debby Going? Her Rains Have Already Begun to the North ...While She Spins in Florida.

Hurricane Debby.

Landfall Steinhatchee

Moving NNE at 10 MPH

75 MPH Winds

Paul Goodloe on TWC just now said "Don't sleep on Debby" or something like that. I'm doing 3 things at once this morning. Just because she made landfall the game is not over.

Not. Game. Over.

Normally, a storm makes landfall and it's much like tourists in Key West that turn and leave fast as soon as the sun sets into the water and they miss the real sunset show. The layers ...the ribbons of clouds turning different colors and often the most glorious color is way after the sun set and everyone clapped and ran off to get dinner and drinks. You stay til the last ribbon of orchid and coral shines dimly against an Indigo sky and the stars come out.... before you run off to get your drink and check "watch a sunset in Key West" off your bucket list.

Normally after a landfall weather weakens, the wind blows but more gently and it's another hurricane in the books. In actuality Josh Morgerman just made his 72nd Hurricane intercept, 51st eye in Steinhatchee. Impressive. And, I don't want to hear how it was a weak hurricane or "not as strong as ........." because not every Hurricane is Dorian. He's been in the eye of a hurricane 51 times. Impressive.

The rest of this weather story is not about an eyewall or hurricane force winds. Hurricane Mitch in Central America did not create all the record deaths and destructions, the slow moving Tropical Storm Mitch grinding it's way through the mountain communities caused all the trouble. Hurricane Florence swam across the whole Atlantic Ocean on it's way towards the Carolinas as a Major Hurricane often, but it was it's slow moving crawl...stall just offshore as a Tropical Storm dumping all it's pent up watery energy over the Down East beaches in NC and parts of Myrtle Beach in South Carolina across the state line. Harvey didn't make landfall in Houston, but it's rains found it's way to Houston.

This is the dangerous situation the NHC and every NWS office along the way are worried they are facing with Debby IF the models that show she stalls, sits and spins and dumps water on cities in Low Country prone to flooding or towns in Piedmont areas prone to flooding and if any of this gets further West it can rain in mountainous terrain and cause flash flooding. If it doesn't move ....and the models that show it stalling verify it dumps rain for days in the Southeast.

All of that rain

(orange/red/pink)

Moves up into the Carolinas.

Virginia.

Much misery.

While the market may be dropping...

..the rivers will be rising!

So we know where Debby has been, now the question is which City is next on Debby's bucket list and I'll say it again, remember Debbie is not going away quietly. She's like a teenager out of control and ready to rock and roll and keep everyone around her up at night unable to sleep. Way out ahead of her landfall, it's already raining and waves are beginning to pound the beaches of Georgia.

Oh look at that.

Yes, Raleigh is right there in it!!!

Keep that line there....

...where I am watching it down below.

Watching TWC in the background.

Watching loops on the laptop spin fast.

Sipping coffee, smiling and thinking.

My husband watching the market....

...just said there was a coup in Bangladesh.

We do live in interesting times ...

The winds stay at Tropical Storm force for a long time as Debby slows down, creating more drama, more news, more wet misery and memories in each town along the way in it's very huge cone.... this is a huge issue in that it impacts so many people. So many people.

Again this is the radar.

It's already raining far from Steinhatchee.

So I will update after the 11 AM. There may be some wiggle room within the cone for the "center" but it won't have an "eye" as it did at landfall so we are watching the area vs the center. It'll have rain, lots and lots and lots of rain with some wind. Mind you IF I get the center or near the center it'll matter to me...

And, let me explain this carefully....

When you get lots of rain way ahead of the actual storm......

Then you get a Tropical Storm or even a Tropical Depression with WIND stalled out over a specific area that is really a huge multistate area and when the wind hits the trees at some point the trees fall down. The trees fall down and take the power out with them across a wide, huge area. And, it rains for days and the rivers rise and the river valley those plains that are rich and fertile allowing crops to grow overflow and flooding happens. If it rains heavy in areas where there is elevation in the Piedmont or up in the mountains you get Flash Flooding and the normally, beautiful rivers that run through the cute little towns become deadly, destructive daggers of danger and often wash away homes and people's lives in the little towns in Appalachia. Check out the map below for the region I'm talking about and remember that IF this turns inland more as some models have shown vs crawling along the coast of Carolinas.

Good Map, link below.

If any of the rain goes here....

...it'll cause flash flooding.

Because elevation.

Georgia Bight.

South Atlantic Bight.

Same old Bight to me...

Those river valleys swell, they flood and they overflow their banks creating what looks like a huge inland sea and nothing is normal for a long time. This is where Debby is tracking and IF the forecast verifies (and it's verified so far...) it'll be a mess beyond your imagination. Only thing that stops this is IF the Bermuda High suddenly inhales ......and allows Debby to pass offshore. But, if she did that she'd intensify over the very warm waters of the Gulfstream. This is almost a checkmate set up in that no matter what happens now there's a problem.