#91L Feels So Deja Vu Another Invest Hovering Near South American Coast

 

90% on 5 days. 70% in 2 days!

I hear limbo music playing.

How low can you go???

That's Trinidad, Tobago and parts of South America.

As 91L slides along the path pre Ian took.

And a few others before...

So you ask what changed?

As Ian did this dance and spun to the right.

High Pressure pushing down on 91L

Models in great agreement!

Oh not really.

Track yes. 

Intensity no.

This is a problem for me because intensity changes things, yet the track seems carved in stone. Nothing is ever carved in stone until it's finished and we have only just begun. Part of me wants to say the season goes full circle and slams 91L West and it crosses into the Pacific and spawns the next EPAC storm (have they finished the alphabet yet?) but it could also wobble around, become extremely strong and want to  move North some. I'd love to say "nothing to worry about" but often those words come back to bite me so all I'll say now is it seems very deja vu of storms we had previously this year and in other years that had a variety of solutions. And, as always I don't have to remind you intensity varying so much is a variable so not ready slam the door on 91L as it heads towards Central America and tries to get into the Pacific.

Mimic shows dry, high pressure (blues) there for now.

As long as 91L speeds along we should be fine.

If it dallies, things could change.

Hope not as we don't need more tropical trouble.

Will update Sunday AM 

Closeness to land inhibits development.

Yet we are at 90% in 5 days

So we will see.

Had a nice holiday.

Good time with friends.

Beautiful weather.

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram

Twitter mostly weather and Instagram whatever

Love Alan Jackson....