Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Tuesday, February 12, 2019

Tropical Tuesday - Snowy Seattle - Sunshine in Florida - NY/NE Winter Weather Expected


It's a mixed bag across the nation with the Pacific Northwest stealing all the headlines and the states North of the old Mason-Dixie Line are hogging winter weather ...depriving Southern Snow lovers of snow and wishing they were in Seattle of all places! Here my grandson below who lives in upstate New York finally got some snow action again today; by the way he loves snow. Apparently the snow began before 9:45 AM so the school sent out text messages that school was cancelled officially so he's on his way back home (to the left of the picture) to spend a snow day with his mother who is most likely online sympathizing with her sister-in-law in Seattle whose kids have been on "snow day" all week so far.


Seattle grandkids doing cookie arts and crafts today.


Pretty sure that's gonna be Snow Week 2019!

In Florida we be like Winter is Wednesday ;)



Florida is beautiful.
So is Seattle ;)

The view of snow in Seattle is magical...
...to everyone but my daughter-in-law Chani


Van Gogh could not have done better.
That's a stunning, snowy, magical winter wonderland!

So what can we learn about this coming hurricane season from this recent ongoing winter I wonder. It's easy to ask if previous past snowy years in Seattle were El Nino years or La Nina years or something in between. The problem with that is that some were moderate El Nino, others were moderate La Nina and some were moderately Neutral which is interesting as there is nothing moderate about this winter in Seattle so something should be worth studying. 



The problem with El Nino discussion is that everyone writes a different story in the news explaining that it is coming, going or continuing on as scheduled. Up above is a plethora of contradictory news stories regarding El Nino and how it is or isn't affecting the weather in any one given spot on the planet. Below is a good discussion from the most reliable place stating we really aren't in the throes of an El Nino today. It's not a matter of "fake news" in the "weather world" as much as everyone needs a headline or story so there is always some statistic that may be used to hype any fact you are trying to sell. 


This map shows a current Enso Neutral phase.
I'm sure many might argue this...

A wonderful link to learn about El Nino away from the hype of the headlines is shown below:
https://www.weather.gov/tbw/tampabayelninopage

Either way the years when Seattle had record breaking winter weather in one form or another are years when the Atlantic also spit out busy hurricane seasons. You can add 1945 and 1949 to the images I showed in yesterday's blog. Despite the differences in phases of El Nino the similarity for all those years shown from 2012 to 1985 to 1945 to 1949 show busy hurricane seasons along the East Coast and the Gulf of Mexico; it would be ironic if the Hurricane Season delivered what Mother Nature took away in the winter. One way or the other weather happens.



Note the headlines for one of those storms.


Another factor in the tropics is SAL.
Saharan Dust that has already shown it's face.
The sunset images all week on Twitter show that fact.
Coral orange and rusty red sunsets are in order.
It also ups allergy, asthma and other illnesses here.


Yes, that's dust as DaBuh pointed out this morning.



It's pretty windy in Miami today so that helps.
The Australian Pines are rustling.
The sun is shining.
My kids are either swimming, boating or jogging on the beach.
But the natives never really forget the hurricane season.
Those coral sunsets on Instagram dazzle....
...but Saharan Dust is in the air.
Winter weather here is beautiful.
Nothing lasts forever....

Winter turns into Spring.
Spring Fever Baseball....
...Storm Chasing on the Plains?
Royal Poinciana Trees turn crimson colors.
Plumeria blossoms appear.
Jo Malone puts out Spring Scents.
And then.... we have hurricane season.
Til then a good loop below shows the SAL story.


Saharan Dust satellite loop:
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/sal/g16split/movies/goes16split.html

The bottom line is any real weather pattern that is as noticeable as this year's lack of winter in some places and the constant bombardment in other areas shows a pattern of sorts. What kind of pattern? Not sure yet. Shake the Magic 8 Ball and look again later. The Plains were a bit lacking in Spring weather last season and tornadoes happened frequently in places far to the North such as Wyoming and Cape Cod. And endless parades of T Bone like Cold fronts dragging severe weather up across the Florida beaches that got slammed last hurricane season meeting up with Ohio Valley winter weather continues on and on and on.


Last year's developing moderate El Nino helped keep Texas dry.
Dry from tropical weather tho they had lots of storms.
That pattern months later still seems in place.
However the winds may have changed if El Nino waned some.
Til then just keep watching.
Much to think on down the road.
Today I'm going to enjoy Miami and the family.
Not going to think about NC and the lack of snow there.
Or the cold temperatures at night.
Or my boots that are waiting for me in my closet.
Then again Spring will come soon.
The maple tree was already budding when I left.
We are all collectively waiting on Spring.
Especially meteorologists.



Stay tuned.
Check out yesterday's blog on Snow in Seattle.
And it explains why I've been on vacation ;)


Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter

Ps... a good long walking tour video of Seattle's Pike Place that is one of the most iconic and incredibly fun places to spend the day if you are lucky enough to be in Seattle on any day even in a snow storm. Spoiler Alert... it's going to keep snowing this week. I bet he never thought he'd be on a tropical blog that usually features tropical weather. Such is life ... filled with surprises.









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