HELLO FRANKENSTORM? Worries Widen ...Sandy hits Sandy Point? Long Island?

GFS coming over to the Euro way of thinking... now that is a new one. IF both models converge on a place for landfall it will be as near a "lock" as you have ever seen.

For now... GFS is making landfall further South closer to the NJ/NY area with a swath of Long Island being affected severely and on into New England possible.

OR... it could come in further south and scrape it's way along the coast affecting people from NC to NJ with a hit around Cape May, NJ. This could pile water up the various sounds along the coast affecting so many people it's hard to even speculate. I'll leave that for the media that will soon go hog wild with hype and speculation.

BIGGEST NEWS AT NOON: GFS sees whatever the EURO has been seeing.



This image shows Long Island and New England as a direct hit but THAT CAN AND WILL CHANGE.

Especially this time of year things change fast depending on how much of a tilt the front achieves and how much the storm interacts and is attracted by the frontal boundary.

One fly in the ointment might be the intensity of Hurricane Sandy as she is currently on the verge of being a Major Hurricane.  And, "major hurricanes" react differently from smaller ones.. that may be figured again into the next few model runs.

Newest Model shown on Mike's Facebook Page

LOOK CLOSELY.... that is a dangerously intense wind field... affecting multi-millions possible.



Tuesday October 30th and probably the timing is off by a good 12 hours as these things evolve.

Halloween isn't going to be pretty in the NE.

And, from North Carolina through VA and Maryland... from the fringe winds you can kiss Fall Color goodbye because those colored leaves around going to be Gone With the Wind..

As for New England... listen up carefully... and Long Island, Upstate NY... Maryland maybe... you are going to lose a lot of trees not to mention power when the wind starts blowing.

This is NOT the Perfect Storm and it's not about losing a ship at sea and a crew who went overboard.

It's about a strong Caribbean Hurricane moving up along the very warm Gulf Stream feeding off of the Gulf Stream, coming closer to the west than previously indicate so it could very well spread it's winds across North Carolina, Virginia, and all the cute "sounds" bringing in high tides and damage even as an Off Shore Hurricane it can affect you far inland.

As for Long Island ... yes... think 1938... and Rhode Island.. are you listening? Cape Cod can take a big hit so if you have property out there... secure it and don't tell me about how you get Northeasters all the time.........  CT... don't blink...     this isn't Hazel.

Then again... it could do something funky if the front is stronger or it reacts faster and turns quicker and a Hazel type of storm can not be rule out.

Point here...THIS IS SHAPING UP TO BE A HISTORIC STORM.

Good article written by one of the best:
http://patriotpost.us/opinion/15187

Look at all the models hooking WEST:



The Navy Map still brings it in around SANDY POINT, NJ as I mentioned the other day.


Discussion from Official Sources that used the Frankenstorm term:

PRELIMINARY UPDATE...

DESPITE A MODEST CLUSTER OF OUTLYING DETERMINISTIC SOLUTIONS AND
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS FROM THE VARIOUS MODELING CENTERS, THE LION'S
SHARE OF GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH
HURRICANE SANDY WILL PASS CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE AMPLIFYING POLAR
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES TO BECOME INCORPORATED INTO
A HYBRID VORTEX OVER THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST NEXT TUESDAY.
THE HIGH DEGREE OF BLOCKING FROM EASTERN NORTH AMERICA ACROSS THE
ENTIRE ATLANTIC BASIN IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW THIS UNUSUAL MERGER TO
TAKE PLACE, AND ONCE THE COMBINED GYRE MATERIALIZES, IT SHOULD
SETTLE BACK TOWARD THE INTERIOR NORTHEAST THROUGH HALLOWEEN,
INVITING PERHAPS A GHOULISH NICKNAME FOR THE CYCLONE ALONG THE
LINES OF "FRANKENSTORM", AN ALLUSION TO MARY SHELLEY'S GOTHIC
CREATURE OF SYNTHESIZED ELEMENTS.

AS IS OFTEN THE CASE, WHEN ONE PART OF THE NATION IS EXPERIENCING
A VERY ENERGETIC ATMOSPHERE DISTURBANCE, THE REMAINDER IS
RELATIVELY CALM. THIS EVENT SHOULD NOT PROVE THE EXCEPTION, WITH A
FAIRLY BENIGN FEED OF PACIFIC AIR INTO MOST OF THE WESTERN AND
CENTRAL STATES. THE FAR WEST, PARTICULAR NORTH OF CALIFORNIA, WILL
HAVE ENOUGH SUSTAINED ONSHORE FLOW TO KEEP THE PERIOD WET AND
UNSETTLED.


CISCO

Discussion from the NHC is predictable.. I am not going to discuss their discussion right now.

The above stands for itself..... I'll go with that term for now.

Understand the WEATHER FIELD IS CURRENTLY AFFECTING SOUTH FLORIDA.. 

And, I would be surprised if Hurricane Sandy does not become a Major Hurricane later today, IF the NHC decides to update.

Let's play Wind Probabilities instead. HEY RALEIGH IS IN THE WIND PROBS... hmmm, okay smiling.. I'm bad.  

NOTE places like Anapolis and Ocean City... Atlantic City seems real high up there:

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  14(18)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  14(17)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)
HARTFORD CT    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
HARTFORD CT    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  15(20)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  14(20)
NEW YORK CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
NEW YORK CITY  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  13(18)
NEWARK NJ      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  11(17)
TRENTON NJ     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  13(22)
ATLANTIC CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
ATLANTIC CITY  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  10(15)

DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  11(20)
DOVER DE       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)

ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  10(16)

WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   8(13)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)  12(26)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)
OCEAN CITY MD  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   5(13)

NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)   6(20)
NORFOLK NAS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)

NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  14(16)   5(21)
NORFOLK VA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
NORFOLK VA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)


GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)

RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  16(25)   4(29)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)
CAPE HATTERAS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  10(18)   3(21)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)
MOREHEAD CITY  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)

WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   6(12)   2(14)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?pid=10731831&l=5b9032cac5&id=252883164567

BOBBISTORM BOTTOM LINE:

PAY ATTENTION THIS IS NOT A HOLLYWOOD SCENARIO OR MOVIE TRAILER..THIS IS REAL

THIS COULD HAPPEN. SOMEONE, SOMEWHERE IS GOING TO GET SANDY WITH THIS CURRENT SET UP.

PAY ATTENTION ... PREPARE... PLAN.... DON'T FREAK... PLAN, DECIDE AND ACT IF YOUR AREA BECOMES THE MAIN TARGET FOR HURRICANE SANDY!

BE PREPARED ON SATURDAY NOT SUNDAY OR MONDAY. IF THIS HAPPENS PEOPLE WILL GO HAVE BOUGHT YOUR FAVORITE SNACKS, ALL THE BATTERIES AND ANY HURRICANE SUPPLIES YOU NEED.

HAPPENED BEFORE, IT WILL HAPPEN AGAIN.. MIGHT BE HAPPENING NOW!

BESOS...BOBBI..