Sara Stuck Down Near the Yucatain. Snow for the NC MTNS Forecast. A Look Back at 1940 Flooding NC - Linville Caverns. Ode to Our State Magazine

Info on TS Sara at the bottom

Great Flood of 1940s in NC

A look back at some hurricane history.

An August Hurricane ...

I am starting this Sunday Morning blog with the photo above that's in the incredible article linked below from Our State Magazine. This is our North Carolina Magazine that along with sharing recipes as well as travel suggestions is literally a primer for anyone who has recently moved to North Carolina, is thinking on moving to North Carolina or has moved away and loves to touch home as they turn the pages of this treasured magazine. And, they often do Weather History as weather is big part of North Carolina as we get all four seasons or five if you can add in the colorful Pollen Season so people with pollen allergy beware or rather be aware you will either need to go South to Florida for a month or pop benedryl in the Spring because Spring is your favorite season and you aren't going to leave. There are some things that are worth suffering through and if you have ever seen the Dogwood come to life here and then the Azaleas bloom well you'll know what I mean.  We also get few horrific hot days with high heat index and no air movement in August that are beastly, however the heat has an expiration date... something it never has in Miami where I was born and bred from an "Old Florida" family going back to the 1800s.

Flooding is no stranger to NC.

Down by the sea....

...or up in the towns and hollers.

As I always say:

Rain + Terrain = Pain

Often death and destruction!

Why do people stay? Why do some people move away? Each family has it's own story.

Every flood has it's story and in the Applachaians often it has it's own hurricane. The local cable Spectrum News did an article on the 1940 flood that wiped out someone's home and business and discussed Linville Caverns severly impacted by that once infamous flood that many thought no one would ever forget. Life goes on, time goes by and people forget until the next flood hits a mountain community. It's an awesome read so I suggest you read it.

https://www.ourstate.com/the-deluge-of-1940/

One of the first things I learned about the Hurricane History of the Carolinas from a book I bought when I was dating my husband and it became obvious we were getting married and I was going to move "Up North" to the North State which is really "Down South" but to Floridians in the Deep South we kind of think of it as "Up North" as Grandma Mary would say.

Hurricane Hugo punched so deeply into the Carolinas that it brought down huge boulders in the mountains that were so large they were just left there and it's become a sort of tourist attraction for people who like to hike up and see that sort of thing.

So know.... every natural disaster has it's story and most link back to a hurricane that everyone worried on down in Florida or by the Carolina Beachs, but few read the discussion for Helene from the NHC saying there would be catastrophic flooding up in the mountains from Helene. The Iconic Cone is shared everywhere, but words matter and the words in each advisory warned on the end game for Helene up in the mountains of the Carolinas. 

In the Philappines there is a wild hurricane that just made landfall after others this season and this last one was one to brought up memories in my mind of Andrew when I was looping loops last night. Check that out below!

Wild Eye.

And Mike is eyeing SNOW

As he loves to go up to Tennessee

...to see snow...

Snow is missing in action in Tampa..

Mike loves to chase.

He's always up for the game.

Mike literally took NHC feed off the page.

We have moved on.

Not to say another could form...

...if so we are all over it!

Yes, we are dreaming of snow.

In 13 days the Hurricane Season ends.

Bye, bye, farewell.

Don't let the screen door slam on ya!

As for Sara...

She's down in Central America

Stuck.

But that cold front was not stuck!

Look how far South it went!

All I will say is it's, in theory in the forecast,  it's forecast to be alive as a Tropical Depression once back over the BOC and we will see what we will see. See the little "D" at the end of the cone?

Those speckled blue clouds in the Atlantic...

...and parts of GOM

The are cold weather clouds.

Sara embedded to the South.

Halted in her tracks by the High Pressure.

Mike, and others, are taking flack for talking about a potential hit on Florida from a forecast Hurricane Sara and showing the Cone from the NHC and model tracks. Let's stop a minute and think on this. Mike's original page SpaghettiModels.com now known as Mike's Weather Page as well was made to post Spaghetti Model tracks put out with forecasts from the NHC on ...well forecasted tropical events and give all of us a heads up on where a hurricane might go. Those of us who know, real Floridians with history there, know even in 2024 hurricanes and especially Tropical Storms in November can be fickle! As much as we know, it's still November and some fronts over perform and some don't show up, steering currents get stuck and everything changes. And, we all say "until it forms and we get good Recon data...." nothing is for sure.

Note we had expected Recon to go in a day earlier, but for some reason they could not and had to reschedule for the next day. During that time things began to change and it's worth nothing one much relied on model had just had an Upgrade so perhaps there were a multitude of problems with the less than stellar forecast.  In general ... NHC has been spot on with their forecasts before the center formed posting Potential Tropical Cyclone Cones and they have done a fantastic job. Sara slid through... obviously.

Personally it seemed odd as the official forecast for Hurricane Sara on it's way to Florida was not normal for this late in November and logically speaking IF it formed it made more sense it would be jerked back fast by a deep diving cold front ENE across the Caribbean or get shoved into Central America by the High Pressure pushing down fast. Moving up towards Florida anywhere North of Key West seemed not consistent with CLIMO, however.........as much as I said this was a rare track for a November hurricane here and on X I'll be honest I still have to give the official forecast from the NHC and so does Mike!

So cut him some slack and don't whine because you didn't get a rare, devastating hurricane once again in Florida. Personally I did a happy dance once I knew South Florida, where most my family lives, was out of the tropical woods!

Have an awesome Sunday.

Thanks for reading along in my online weather diary that started out as a lark as I typed my thoughts for me and my friends specifically my weather friends and writing friends, never realizing I'd be remarried and living in North Carolina still blogging 20 years later. The blog in the early days was a great outlet for me to let loose my thoughts on life as a single mother and the wonderful but strange group of friends I had and still have in the Writing Community and the Weather Community, where I could just be myself and read, post lyrics, be silly or pissy at someone both annoyed, also in a loving way as I'm more of a lover than a fighter :)

Sweet Snowy Dreams, 

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X

Mostly weather posts. I'm on Insta for my family, on Facebook for old highschool friends and some local ones who are only there and no not going on a new social media as between the ones I'm on I'm posting enough and as certain people know, if they want to know my thoughts on life and weather I'm here blogging on www.bobbistorm.com that links to Hurricane Harbor!

Still a great song...