Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Tuesday, November 12, 2024

Invest 99L - 90% RED! Waiting for Tropical Storm Sara to Form.


Area that's now an Invest


Post by my friend Jim Edds
Zoom Earth screenshot



Models from Mike's Weather Page
aka Spaghetti Models...


A  bit of a reminder here in that there is a Tropical Wave (remember we'd been watching a late season one) and the general area of spin down near the CAG that was a Rebel Without a Cause so to speak, but in this case without a Center and as the tropical wave moves West...it becomes the spark that lights the fire and gets our Invest area spinning.


Now look at WV 
Area really blossoming.
Really wants to spin.


High pressure to the North (dark area)
That incubates so to speak...
...our Invest.

Will update with any new info
Stay tuned and stay aware!

Jim is such a great name ....
...first video I hit on
Enjoy
Awesome song to dance to...


ps 90% in 7 days... 60% in 2





Earlier this morning........



Waiting on Invest that should be soon.
Models below.


Using models from Eric Burris on X


A look at the visible imagery.
You can literally see something forming.
Up close below.


On Earthnull visible as well.


Bottom line is there is something forming and with or without an Invest that should show up soon, we should have an area the NHC has shown consistent attention to this area. How far North it goes, or how far South it stays will be decided based on when and where it forms and .... how well developed "Sara" will be as that's the next name on the board. 

Some models slide it into the Florida Straits moving towards South Florida. Others take it eventually to West Florida or SW Florida...some show it dawdling around some and then taking off fast towards Florida.

All eyes on Florida in many ways these days... 

I'll update this afternoon when next model runs come out and it's worth noting the EURO is being upgraded today.

Thanks for reading. If you are in the path of these models, remember to check out your Hurricane Supplies to make sure the kids didn't get into cookies or.... perhaps you decided the season was over and began shopping directly from the Hurricane Supplies.

Hurricane Season 2024 is not over!

Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter
Twitter mostly weather
Insta whatever.

Great oldie classic
Came up when I looked for Sara songs.










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