Rafael an Interesting November Hurricane. One for History Books. K.I.S.S. Today ;)

 

King of basic, but strange.

This will be an example for years to come.

November strange weather patterns.

High builds in.... shuffles West.

Granted models do offer other solutions.

NHC does a good job.

So let's go with their solution.

GFS takes it North.

Favorite target Nola?

You can see the front that dipped down, but did not grab Rafael as the High Pressure to it's East pushed it West not allowing it to be scooped up by the front. All things being equal the front would have won, but strong High Pressure is well...strong. So it drifts... West... still beautifully wound up with 100 MPH winds, so this is not lightweight storm and yet it's a small intensely wound up core. Yes, I said "wound up" twice to drive the point home. What the GFS is seeing I don't know, but while it's often made fun of it's been right more than it's been wrong this year and the EURO has struggled. On any given Sunday one model that's often made fun of gets it right.

As for the yellow circle headed into the Bahamas, there are low chances but it could up the ante for rain in the South Florida area as well as Cuba.

I highlighted Sunday.

Chance of rain and steady strong winds.

Out of the East.

Because there's a Strong High

That's it's official name by me.

Strong High

Keeping it simple today.

Strong sinus headache.

Not responding to medication.

So trying to stay offline more than normal.

Fires in Camarillo in California bad.

Snow storm out West...son sent me pics!

Winter wonderland in Colorado.

Here in the Carolinas it's quiet.

Sunny, lightest breeze.

Maple tree showing off a few read leaves.

Thanks for reading.

Enjoy the day.

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter 

Twitter mostly weather.

Insta whatever

Put up the 1st strong that came to me.

Go figure......................

English Major???