Invest 96L in NATL ---- Wrench in the Name Game Appears!! Red 70% in the SW Carib & PR Area May Come Together.... 1st Week of November Tropics Have Lots of Possibilities. Also Distant Tropical Wave Refusing to Look at the Calendar. Anomalous 2024 Hurricane Season

N ATL AOI now 96L

Could Patty be a N ATL storm?

Maybe will see. Looks closed on Earthnull.

Tho only has 40% at 5 PM.

Meanwhile.... 

Lots going on in unusual places.

EPAC has a system.

Invest 96L Upper Left Corner.

Front trying to dislodge the High.

Hmmmmm

PR AOI is intensely RED

Yet the SW Carib has the Red Circle.

Oh bottom right...what is that?

Like to see that get a yellow X soon.

Maintained it's energy for sure.

I'll update Saturday evening.

Talk on the street is...

... slow forming Carib system could be Rafael

If N ATL gets Patty.

Ps... 97L always seems problematic.

in my mind.

Stay tuned!!

* * *

8 AM.

2 Areas being monitored by NHC

1 up in the far N ATL

We should have an Invest soon.

70% Red

My quick thoughts are there are models that have consistently shown some interaction between 2 systems in the Caribbean coming together into a named storm. Some models have hinted at 2 named systems, one strong but one going longer, further. 

The real question here is the High and where the High will be when this system finally comes together. When you have more than 1 IF on the map it ups the ante for confusion and models that disagree. Until we have a closed center come together we are taking stabs at possibilities. So for now, everyone is in it regarding the "watching the tropics" game, but remember this time of year it's very hard to get a strong hurricane spinning as they move up into the Gulf of Mexico as usually fronts appear and shear appears along with the front and you know where this goes if you've been reading my blog. They catch a ride on the Cold front, weather goes wide, lots of wind and depending on the angle and strength of the front and named storm they can unwind and fall apart or go rushing off fast inland. 

1 big IF

2 areas being monitored in the Caribbean.

Sun rising on our PR system.

Sun also rose on a wave no one is watching.

Going closer in...

below is the wide shot...

Our 70% red circle has interference from EPAC

Tropical weather everywhere in November

Backloaded system, remember?

See the distant waves ...

Anomalies all season.

Not worrying on that wave...

...just makes you go "huh" 

In the post from Cantore above...

Note the arrows... connecting lines.

Between SW Carib & PR Carib energy.

If...they come together...

They ride West under the huge High Pressure.

This is the official NOAA forecast for Nov 8th.

A Low down near the tip of the Yucatan.

You'll remember Milton stalled there.

This is going the other way though..

Rare for November.

But hey it's 2024.

Draw a line across this video.

Everything to the North is seasonal. Fronts.

To the South ...still in Hurricane Season.

Slip sliding away but still here.

2 areas in EPAC

3 in Atlantic

That Wave I mentioned before above... ??????

Below is a model grid from Mike.

I love Mike!

Good guy, good father, good friend!

Up and then to the West.

Rare attempt at a rare set up.

Is this a Florida concern???

or BOC/GOM

Very very rare for that to happen.

Could be days before we know what'll be.

So watch it.

Have fun this weekend!

Fall Festivals or PSL 

Football

Either u love politics or hide from it.

Be you, be happy and do what you love.

I'll post something if NHC blinks...

..with an Invest.

One way or another...

...hurricane season will end eventually.

Til then...watching.

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

Twitter mostly weather, Insta whatever

No agenda here...

...tried to find a November song.

This is November 8th Song

We could have a named tropical system

..on the 8th of November.

????