Groundhog Day 321... The Search for Patty in the SW Carib. Forever 40 and Orange.

 

Note high-pressure pressing down into GOM

Shear across Cuba.

Convection clinging there in SW Carib

See the Gremlin like red creature.

2 eyes...and outstretched arm

belly...

...li'l tail!

It can't get up and get moving.

It's stuck.

Do you see any movement?

EPAC has systems.

Maybe it'll mosey over there.

See they have a very late season going.

I can see the attraction.

Lots of color ...

..area to the North of it is sliding West.

Why not this CAG mess?

Okay I'll be honest. I'm really not a CAG girl, not to be confused with SAG as Screen Actors Guild is good and Sagitarrius is a great sign (especially if they have their Mercury in Capricorn or Venus as I have my sun in Cap and my Venus in Scorpio...okay too much info....what were we talking about? Oh, right the CAG storms that I'm really not so into. I'm taking cold meds, sinus meds and asthma medication so if I'm not careful I could write a Tell All Book on Lifestyles of Producer/Directors or Storm Chasers or forecasters but no I'll stick with the orange circle that won't go away.

What if our Orange Gal isn't a Gal and moves West into the Pacific and what if Patty isn't a CAG storm but a tropical wave or  low that forms at the tail end of some frontal boundary and high pressure builds in pushing a wayward westbound wave West before suddenly being picked up by a cold front and being carried up, up and away the way Inez was when she sure looked like she was going to smash Miami but after doing the Florida Straits she said "No! No! No! I don't want to go" and hauled around and made a U turn back into the GOM making everyone in South Florida that prepared really pissed off. That's what they said as I grew up hearing people bitch they were supposed to get INEZ but she didn't want to do Miami.

I don't make this up.... 

...my Aunt said there was some rain.

But much to do about nothing.

That brings us back to the CAG storm forecast to form.

Maybe.

Here's a "what if" scenario.

What if Patty is in the Atlantic.

What if we are watching Rafael?
(we don't do Q, don't ask, it's complicated)

GFS shows 2 systems (ish)

One in the Bahamas.

One S of Cuba

Near Island of Pines or Youth, whichever.

EURO doesn't really show this....

Euro shows rain.... 

Oh and still...

the CMC shows this.

Note that is 8 days away.

By then we will know who is President

Half the country will be happy.

Half the country will be upset.

Discussion on results may go on and on.

Kind of like this CAG system...

...taking it's time to form.

That's it.

Nothing has formed.

CMC is dreaming...every day. 

Every way, every night.

CMC wants this to happen.

GFS is kind of sort of onboard.

EURO as always plays hard to get. 

Stay tuned tomorrow.

Same blog.....

I'm really not a CAG person.

Just saying.

They can produce.

But every day that goes by....

...it'll be harder to get a strong storm.

And, that's okay... 

..because Florida is so over this hurricane season!

And, North Carolina.

Sweet Snowy Dreams,

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

Twitter mostly weather ... Insta whatever!