40% Orange in Carib! Rafael Remants and Is Sara Brewing Down in the SW Carib? IF SO... IS Sara Florida Bound? Keys? SFL??? Stay Tuned.

Good Morning.

What began yellow last night.

Is now at Code Level Orange.

Florida Orange Juice in this case.

Remember models can change and often do on every run. What I am discussing here is to give you the gist of what may happen and why everyone is suddenly talking on the SW Caribbean yet again this hurricane season. Where the African Wave Train dropped the ball, the SW Caribbean picked it up and ran for the End Zone. If this was a college football game the score would be SW Carib 63 to 7.

The Canadian sees something forming off the tip of the Yucatan. 

Follow the mustard colored brick road.

The EURO is the real driver with this one currently, it really, really likes this sceneario. It seems something consolidating, not just forming, and there's a frontal system to the North that would put Florida and a good part of the East Coast in play for a season changing hurricane that ends up delivering snow to many along I95. That is today's scenario and EURO is not really one for long distance modeling, but hey it woke everyone up this morning. 

Again this is the EURO

Trying to reclaim it's crown.

What begins down here....

...doesn't stay down there.

LONG RANGE prone to CHANGE

GFS always goes higher.

Battle of the models.

Fantasizing models.

Remember that.

Blake Matthews put this tantalizing model.

Long distance modeling.

Winter Winning!

Generally you only get that sort of total flip after something comes out of the Tropics and barrels it's way North helping to really wake Winter up and remind it that people across the Nation are dreaming of cold, snow, frosty decorations and drinks that warm us up or make us smile as we get closer to the holidays.

Generally a hurricane out of the deep tropics moving North realigns everything.

Back to the beginning.

DaBuh is singing this morning.

A little Bob Marley.

A little Golden Oldies.

Let's see where this goes. Watch the flow in other places and watch the atmosphere while wondering on whether Sara will form in the SW Caribbean and beat a path to Florida. Normally late November exits Stage Right fast but there's a bit of lift in the future and the real question is can South Florida avoid a hit in this very landfall prone Hurricane Season?

Rafael is a Remnant Low, sounds like some old boyfriend or girlfriend you notice at Starbucks and debate whether you should or shouldn't go over and say something. Next name up Sara...

Sweet Dreams.

Wherever you stand politically....

Share a smile.

Whatever you be wishing for weather wise...

Share a wish and a smile.

Starbucks has their Winter Drink Menu :)

Always one to jump the gun.

Had a Cream Brulee Frapp yesterday.

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

Twitter mostly weather, Insta whatever