Sara and Central America

Cone below.

This is the Cone for Sara.

Yes it emerges into the BOC as a Depression.

Yet the cone stops where it does.

These are the  models.

That does seem to be a disconnect.

You're right.

It is what it is and all I can say really is that we have to watch and wait and see what happens when Sara emerges into the BOC after moving slowly across parts of Central America that are already experiencing catastrophic flooding and mudslides. I can add it's a long way time wise from possibly impacting Florida, should it's circulation survive intact after traversing the Yucatan Peninsular. This really has been the year of catastrophic flooding with mudslides across many parts of the world, some of which rarely see this sort of flooding. Sadly, it's a deadly problem for Central America currently.

This shows no tropical storm or hurricane ....

...approaching the USA.

Again the NHC tracks the center of a cyclone, it doesn't track "weather" which is the job of the National Weather Service. Most of the weather noted in the maps above concerns frontal boundaries. The High stays in place for a while protecting Florida from any landfalling systems should a cyclone such as the remnants of Sara til it gets dislodged by a strong cold front on November 21st. 

So taking this one day at a time, we will see when and if Sara emerges into the BOC and if the models that hold onto her are totally wrong or not. It's that simple.

Meanwhile you can keep the towns and villages in Central America in your prayers as we've had way too many people die this from flooding and mudslides.

Have an awesome weekend...

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

Ps I am not saying the Hurricane Season is over, but clearly we are winding down as we transition towards a more Winter like pattern in many parts of the hurricane coastline. As 2024 has been one that likes to break rules, it's very possible we will have another rule breaker later. But for now Sara is a Central American storm. Beyond that... we will know soon enough.