Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Monday, September 02, 2024

2 Orange Areas & 1 Yellow Small GOM Area Being Ignored Because Mike Says We All Have a Hurricane Hangover... BC Models Keep Snatching the Storm Away Like Lucy & The Football. A Look At 1935 Hurricane POP UP Storm. And, Could That Happen Today? Cute Area N of Islands Moving Along...

 


I'll change this when we get a named storm.
But til then this is the satellite image.
Below is the somewhat broken NHC Main Page.


NHC broken?
Half the office is out on vacation?
Maybe they are on strike??
So typical of 2024 Hurricane Season.
Labor Day Picnic?!?!
Broken Main Page :(


7 Day Page working.
10% in GOM
40% orange areas of interest.

Actually no one is interested.
No one online wants to bite.
Perhaps they feel Lucy will....
...pull the football away again.


Ignoring the orange circles.
Will pay attention when one goes cherry red.

Let's look at the Elephant in the room.


This area cropped up the other day.
Riding the Northern part of the old wave complex.
chugging along.
Not any real model support.
Maybe one model showed something...
..but models get low grades this year.
So do I really care about "the models" ??

Last time a model verified was Debby.
Long range GFS model nailed Debby.
Maybe long range GFS will nail Francine.
Waiting for that wave to get into the W Carib.

So look at the loop below.


See it enter Stage Right
Sliding along like no one's business
No real signature on Earthnull.
Just fun to watch.
No hype, no angst.
Watching weather.

Sometimes storms POP UP
like Pop Up Stores in the 2020s

Speaking on Labor Day....
A storm suddenly popped up...
...supposedly out of nowhere.
BAMN!



There are snap shots from video below.
To show....
...How fast Labor Day Storm popped up.
Out of nowhere.


August 29th... little D forms close in.
Kind of where our nothing system will be ...


August 31st...  became a TS


September 1st ... Hurricane forms!!! 
Kind close in.........


September 2nd makes landfall as a CAT 5!!
Boom!!

Easy to say that today we'd be watching some weak, westbound wave for days as a yellow and orange circle but models weren't excited and NHC was cautiously debating putting up a PTC Cone and who knows what really might have been. No satellite imagery, just lots of weather data from old time weather people who collected data and shared it so they could piece it all together in real time hopefully or later after the choo choo train fell over when a wave like a tidal wave slammed into it on and the next day dead people were found in coconut trees. Being honest here, it was not pretty. Read reports if you love morbid detail. 

Could that happen today? 

Well... Katrina formed close in like that, slammed SFL as a Hurricane but not a Cat 5. She saved that for later....

Last year we had a huge puncutation to the 2023 Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season. Pop up storm, RI.


Otis slammed ashore as a Cat 5.
After meandering for a few days....
unable to pull it together.
Did so on landfall...just before landfall.
Small, intense storm.
Rapid Intensification was said to be explosive.

So don't mind me if I watch weather...
...in the tropics during the Hurricane Season.
While waiting for the Old GFS run to verify
not watching new African wave, nope.
GOM still has potential as it's lingering.
Causing lots of weather.

Stay tuned.
Maybe we get a cherry.
Watch the Force 13 video below.

Will Charlie Brown ever kick the football?
Maybe I missed that episode.
But I know most of the script for ...
...You're a Good Man Charlie Brown :)
Wonder what he was like as an old man?
Did he become a cranky old man?
Or age backwards with a happy life?

Who knows....
...like the 1935 Labor Day Hurricane.

Sweet Tropical Dreams,
BobbiStorm
@bobbistom on Twitter
Twitter mostly weather
Insta whatever.


Sorry for any typos
The Editor of this blog is on vacation.

Force 13 video of 1935 Hurricane Season.
Newly formed TS goes RI to Cat 5
Backward Hurricane.
Stange year.. like this year in ways.





Song of the day, popped into my head!!
I'm an 80s girl... remember :)


















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