Hurricane Harbor: Late Saturday Nite .... Discussion on Beryl and Texas. Can Beryl Get Back Hurricane Status? I Think So... We'll See Sunday

I'm offline on Saturdays and so by the time I get online this time of year it's late at night. And, while trying to get information on Beryl and it's current disheveled appearance and correlate that with models an discussion from the NHC and I'll add people I trust. Trust is earned over time, and over time you learn who you can trust and who you can not...especially when it comes to weather. Obviously I listen to Mike and to be honest listening to Mike is one of my favorite pastimes lol as we go way back. Since I've lived in Raleigh I have come to appreciate Alan Huffman, be it hurricane season or Winter Weather he is always on the money; he makes great maps that almost always verify perfectly.

The NHC has been very steady and good with Beryl, an Engimatic storm that has a tendency to surprise and often intensify before landfall. Why should Texas be any different?

Going to update in the morning, as in after the sun comes up, and then we will see what Beryl can do with better conditions and less wind shear. The 11 PM showed the barometer is dropping and that's usually a first sign it may intensify wind wise.

I speak much here about systems needing to be vertically aligned and that's true and more so true here with Beryl. Less the passage over the Yucatan and more the dry air and wind shear, including ongoing interaction with an Upper Level Low that decided to travel with it made it very difficult for Beryl to gain traction and find it's center. Strongest convection flares up to the North than takes off for other places and Beryl tries to rebuild and refocus and compete with a poorly aligned secondary center making it basically a "tilted" system and tilted systems can fall over or not be able to take advantage of improved conditions that favor intensification.