Cat 4 Major Hurricane Barbara Flirting with Cat Five. Something From Nothing. Happens. Can Happen in the Atlantic Down the Line. The Eclipse and the Hurricane

Cat 4 Hurricane Barbara above.

The shadow of the Eclipse below.

You can watch the loop in the Tweet below.

The shadow of the moon is clearly visible from space as it makes its way across the southern Pacific Ocean and toward South America.
Just north of the shadow is Hurricane #Barbara, which is set to become a Category 5 hurricane. #EclipseSolar2019 https://t.co/AT62y2wMgh pic.twitter.com/VaealVDyDu

— AccuWeatherAstronomy (@AccuAstronomy) July 2, 2019

Quick note here we were able to watch the eclipse and the hurricane.

Same satellite loop.

Not often you see that.

Whenever a Major Hurricane gets that eye brow look it's trouble.

This is a mean eye.

Mean and wanting to intensify.

Luckily it's out in the middle of the Pacific.

Atlantic Hurricanes Westbound more problematic.

Should easily hit 150 MPH at this rate.
If not a tad bit stronger.
Check the loop out.......

Hurricane Barbara is impressive.

So impressive the NHC is having a problem keeping up with her.

Out of nothingness we ended up with a Cat 4 Hurricane.

Yes, that's a not so gentle reminder on the Atlantic.

Happens often.

Energy suppressed gone wild.

Here's a good overview of her track and forecast.

The first major hurricane of the year- say hello to a beastly category 4 #Barbara! The hurricane could still strengthen slightly- no direct impact to land is expected pic.twitter.com/uSyw8ead6U

— WeatherNation (@WeatherNation) July 2, 2019

Remember while the media will go wild about Hawaii.

Hurricanes usually weaken as they near Hawaii.

So keep that in mind.

Good thing she's doing her thing in the open Pacific.

Discussion from the NHC and some explanations.

Up closer

Look at that eye.

Channels feeding it.

Exploding outward.

Swirling rapidly.

Intensifying.

In color below.

Classic look we have seen before.

Explosive cells in her bands.

From NRL where you can slice and dice down into her eye.

#GOESWest meso-sector 1 is monitoring Category 4 Hurricane #Barbara, see stunning 1-minute imagery via several #GOES17 bands at https://t.co/xWxRrT5hA9 pic.twitter.com/c9DjdTKAZS

— UW-Madison CIMSS (@UWCIMSS) July 2, 2019

Earthnull:

Again she's far out in the Pacific.

A good place to be explosive.

Up close:

About as good as it gets.

Like some magical green eye on a Solar Eclipse Day.

Almost has the radioactive symbol there...

I don't usually wax poetic on Eastern Pacific Hurricanes, but Barbara is very relevant and a good lesson never to take a quiet pattern as a projection of what you think the Hurricane Season will be like down the road.  We went from days of nothingness and discussion on why the EPAC was so quiet and then BOOM in your face Barbara develops, explodes and bursts onto the scene after weeks of meteorologists explaining why we might not see much development. If you are in the Atlantic Basin area beware of such talk there and know this too can and most likely will happen there as well. 

Often busy seasons with small trivial, questionable tropical storms barely able to keep it together lead to much talk and little ACE and that accumulated cyclone energy sleeps it's way through storms whose names will remain on in history over and over much like Andrea that's been around for a while now. I say that because this list of Chantal, Dean and Erin has been around a while. Let's see if that trend continues. But when it's quiet we usually get large, big hurricanes with much ACE and everyone acts as if the rug was pulled out from underneath them because libraries of academic articles online showed why we may have been headed into a quiet season leading people to think they did not need to prepare for hurricane season. Let Barbara be a lesson to us all.  Barbara is in the middle of the Pacific... Barbara was used in 1953 in the Atlantic when a short lived August hurricane formed off the Florida coast and tracked straight up into the Carolinas and the Mid-Atlantic states

Great discussion if you would like to read.

https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/general/lib/lib1/nhclib/mwreviews/1953.pdf

It did much damage for a B storm.

Later in the year things went from bad to worse.

NOTE 1953 was a year with record HEAT along the East Coast.

Record number of landfalls as well.

A year that had records broken this past May.

There was a small tropical storm in July.

Barely there tropical storm.

Then Barbara retraced part of that track in August.

Again patterns repeat.

Small tropical storm......

Then we had a similar track but closer to land.

Hurricane Barbara 1953.

Again 1953 was a year with an early May storm.

And then nothing... nada... until August and the B storm.

So keep that in mind as we all talk on how July may be quiet.

Quiet though it's possible something small will form.

July 10th and on we need to watch close in.

Nothing that will retire the name Barry...

..if Barry forms.

But use this quiet time wisely to prepare.

Again look at all those tracks near land.

Again it's not about when you start the race or how...

...but how, when and where you finish.

As for the Atlantic today...

Waves are suppressed South by a strong high.

Dust that is seasonal for this time of year is sucking up the energy.

Shear is here and there and everywhere it usually is July 2nd.

Tropical Waves keep coming.

And an endless array of possible situations ....

....where close in homegrown storms could form.

Nothing huge... but there is always something to watch.

Generally though we are HOT and tired.

And while people complain the ocean heats up close in.

Check those temperatures out ...

Think how they relate to homegrown pop up storms.

July is prime time for homegrown pop up storms.

While watching Barbara explode and go on a tropical rant.

Remember this too can happen close in to our part of the world.

And our storms don't go West out to sea.

If you remember I did say Florence could make landfall.

These images were from the wave that became Hurricane Florence.

North Carolina is still recovering from Florence.

Early on they said it would be a fish storm.

Note models did show it could get further West...

But most were dismissed as poppycock.

So pay attention because hurricanes happen.

Landfalling hurricanes will happen.

If a hurricane hits your town are you prepared?

Stay tuned.

Learn from history.... 

Old history and more recent history.

Prepare for the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Wave coming off Africa during the Eclipse.

Looks potent.

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram

Ps... Dabuh posted this today.

It's a long shot.

But I wouldn't count it out.

Good Loop on www.spaghettimodels.com