Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Wednesday, June 21, 2017

Updated 11 AM -Cindy 50 MPH Tropical Storm - Not Your Normal Storm. Weather Way to the East of Track. More a Weather Event Brought To You By the Hurricane Season Rather Than a True Tropical Storm


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This post in particular may appeal to the literary types who I know follow my blog. Those of us who hear scenes from our favorite plays or passages from our favorite novel will understand this post. We all have our favorites. Students of meteorology have that one storm that sucked them in to the deeper study behind the hows and whys and wherefore art thou of weather as a science as well as a passion. I've seen a scientist read passages from a book about a hurricane as if he was reading Shakespeare. We are all a mix of left brain and right brain as rivers of thoughts flow around inside our brain. And those of us who try hard to stay centered and convey facts do not like having to call a goose a duck or a chicken a turkey. It's just not right. I love dark thigh meat of turkey way better than a white chicken breast so don't tell me they are the same because they are both poultry and have feathers, wings and they can fly short distances. So I'm going to post one of the greatest scenes in one of my all time favorite plays below and let you figure it out. Tennessee Williams was a great writer, way ahead of his time and not afraid to talk on topics that in his day were considered a third rail. And he hated lies and pretense and he drew that anger out in his writing from his hopelessly, real characters in honest, gut wrenching situations.

Cindy is a storm that was formed from moisture in the tropics in June and moved as an entity North into the Gulf of Mexico. Cindy is taking aim on the Northern Gulf of Mexico coastline as storms tend to do caught up in the flow of the atmosphere. Usually a storm needs to be bigger, reaching up into the atmosphere to feel the tug of the Northern call of dipping frontal boundaries and the call of the North Pole. Weakly formed systems usually go NW across the Yucatan and slither off to Mexico slamming some small town with heavy rain. This year weather features far away have messed up the usual flow of life on the planet this year especially in the tropics. Extreme heat in the Southwest a bit early for this time of year has created a stronger ridge in the SW and the doorway to Mexico and the adjacent BOC was not readily available. Cindy is trying to pull more to the west with every moment that passes but that door is closed tighter than normal with an "out of order" sign hanging in the tropical breeze.

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Cindy is the white arrow of moisture from the Yucatan...
..moving North into the Panhandle of Florida.
Curving a bit to the NW trying hard to gain longitude.
Last night that tail was temporarily displaced.
It almost split into two parts.


After or really currently this morning

Dry Air
Wind Shear
All factors here in the odd appearance of Cindy

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The seemingly endless supply of moisture is being cut off.
Remnants of Bret are making it past that trench.
Refueling it a bit. Trying to...

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I'm not sure why the NHC went with the Tropical Storm designation for Cindy as most meteorologists I know (and I know a lot of meteorologists) will easily say this is Subtropical at best. There are many terms for storms that the NHC provides watches and warnings for and they are not all "tropical" and go by many names. Subtropical, extratropical, baroclinic are just a few of the names we use to describe a storm that is moving from the tropics out of the tropics with dangerous weather, high winds and associated dangers such as tornadoes some even have storm surge! Perhaps with all the attention on the new Potential Tropical Cyclone word usage they did not want to keep changing names from PTC3 to Subtropical Storm Cindy to Tropical Storm Cindy when and if she got her act together. Perhaps they thought it would confuse the general public so trying to be positive here but spoiler alert Cindy never has gotten her act together. Cindy may pull it together seconds before landfall near Texas around the Sabine River, but her rain is displaced very, very far to the East kicking up high seas and pounding Mississippi and delivering squalls with tornadoes to Ft. Walton Beach, Florida. So I don't want to post any cones and discussions on landfall regarding where the "center" of Cindy will cross land as it's not relevant right now. I said days ago the Sabine River area between Texas and Louisiana would most likely be the landfall. That area includes places like Beaumont Texas as well as areas as far West as Houston that can and will see some heavy rain. Then there is a huge gap between that area and the area being impacted over the last few days and tomorrow by the huge, plume of moisture from the depths of the Caribbean.

Mike from Spaghetti Models is awesome.
Know why?
Nice family, fun to talk to and ....
...he has his finger on the pulse of humanity.
He's deceiving as he is way deeper than he pretends.
He knows exactly what people want and need to see.

These graphics are at the top of his page.
Sort of like a meteorological pirate map.
X marks the spot.

No cone today gang.
Well maybe later today I'll post the updated cone.
Check back for updates often...

Today I gave you Shakespeare, Tennessee Williams and loops.
Who needs a cone for a storm that is hard to define?

So I'll just say this about Cindy this morning. Let's drop the pretense of it being a Tropical Storm as currently it looks like a Dragon lying on it's side with a dangerous tail. A very dangerous tail, and the extent of that danger will play out over the next few days in real time depending on fast changing atmospheric conditions. One town up the road, far inland may get massive flooding and another area that thought they would get flooding may escape weather altogether. So this is a set up that deserves a name with it's watches, warnings and heightened public awareness but if you live somewhere in the SE from Houston to the beaches of the Carolina including towns deep up towards the Appalachians and it's foothills YOU NEED TO PAY ATTENTION TO YOUR LOCAL WEATHER and the NWS. The NWS covers the information for all of the towns, hamlets and cities along the path of Cindy. 

You have a choice for that information.

Or put in your town and the word weather into Google.

You can ask Alexa but she might try to sell you a time share..

"What is the weather now in Biloxi Mississippi" 
Try that ... let me know how it turns out.

Or check back here or on TWITTER.
Please join twitter.
You never have to post anything.
You just get instant news, weather and sports.
Come on how awesome is that for introverts?

Really meteorologists want to do their best to warn you...
...of approaching, dangerous weather.
And sometimes it's hard to explain the dangers.
And frustrating.
Cause people ask for the cone and the weather is ....
.....................way over there.

East of the center that is still trying to form.
Someone said this looks more like a Noreaster..
I can't even spell it right.
Southern girl...

Warning video a bit bloody but...
..sometimes life is ugly.
Sometimes a storm looks bad but it's still a storm.
And the effects of weak Cindy could be very ugly.
Time will tell.

Trying to make some sense of it all.
Best thing I can do is warn you to pay attention... fast changing weather.

Mark Sudduth is where Cantore probably wishes he was ...
Waveland Mississippi.
A town used to hurricanes and no canes and Cindy.

I'll update later today often...
...especially when there is more to say.

Besos BobbiStorm
Follow me on Twitter for immediate updates.
@bobbistorm on Twitter

Ps The gang at the NHC is trying hard to do the best they can...
There's nothing normal about Cindy..

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