Remember September took on a new meaning after 911.
Where are we today 9/11/2016?
Watching tropical waves named Invests.
93L below ...flaring up in the Bahamas.
Headed towards Florida.
But maybe just as a tropical wave.
Staring here with 93L an Invest given zero chances by the NHC
It's got an area where it could develop...
...but it has a zero percent chance.
Discussion from Melbourne, FL:
Invest 93L 0%
Why bother keeping it if it's a big ZERO?
As a writer and student of words...
...that makes no sense except to a mathematician I guess...
93L developed from a strong tropical wave off the coast of Africa moving along the same general path of 99L that gave us Hermine. Several times it looked promising and shear suddenly appeared from close by Upper Level Lows that aimed their shear wand on it to make it fall apart. Once again it flared up and once again ULL shot a shear ray at it and it fell apart again. This has been the story all hurricane season with strong waves suddenly under attack from shear that appears out of nowhere. I say nowhere because often the discussion from NHC said that down the road conditions were favorable as there was lighter shear and then shear appeared. As a student of the Water Vapor Loop I know what is normal and what is abnormal. This is sort of abnormal, but should we complain there are less hurricanes and more Upper Level Lows? No, I suppose not.
It's a great loop to use to see several days of tropical activity.
This image is from when 92L flared up AGAIN in the Straits.
And 93L began it's interaction again with the ULL.
Location: Miami, Raleigh, Crown Heights, Florida, United States
Weather Historian. Studied meteorology and geography at FIU. Been quoted in Wall Street Journal, Washington Post & everywhere else... Lecturer, stormchaser, writer, dancer. If it's tropical it's topical ... covering the weather & musing on life. Follow me on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/#!/BobbiStorm