Odile & the Trof... More Flooding for SW Arizona Texas & Mexico. Cat 2 Edouard. Carmen Miranda & Cousin SAL Wears Blue Jeans

Let's start with the O Storm in the Pacific. 

I generally do not post on Pacific hurricanes, but one making a bulls eye onto the Baja Peninsular is a huge story as it happens very rarely. When they do it is because they are caught up in the wrong flow and rather than going out to sea...they curve back inland caught up in the larger atmospheric drama over the US.  The moisture from Odile is going to get caught up in the flow of early season fronts digging down across the Plains and moving towards the Atlantic. In this case Mexico, Texas and Arizona stand in it's way as well as points to the NE. 

Note the water vapor imagery below:

See the image below enhanced with a yellow marker pointing out the direction.

The blue squiggly line is where the front is and will go flat and stationary for days....waiting for the next front that is in the wings up by Alaska. 

Moisture feeds up and into the flow over the US...

More enforcement comes from the NW....

Edouard gets dragged into this flow 

for a while

and then goes

out to sea

with the front.

Weather is local.

The whole world's atmospheric patterns are connected.

Winter is coming.

This is much more of a late October pattern than a September pattern.

Note Odile made landfall the same way a Hurricane in the GOM would go North

or NW

or NE..

Odile caught the front.

Lows go to lows.

Lows stay away from highs.

Meteorology 101.

Keep it simple and sex.

Sexy loop below.. if it shows 

Dark red high pressure pushes Odile in land

Odile goes where the other Lows go

Odile follows the flow.

Great loop to stare at if you have the time.

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop.asp?data_folder=goes-west_goes-east/goes-east_16km_psir4&width=640&height=480

Sometimes I wonder how this painting was made without the painter ever seeing an enhanced water vapor loop.

Water Vapor Image of Edouard and the rest of our part of the globe.

As for our side of the basin...

Just because there is no highlighted area in the Atlantic by the NHC does not mean they are not watching areas and so are many others. Trust me trees fall in the forest even if no one is around to hear them.

Note the circles on the "juice loop" when it's not looping. Those are all potential problems down the tropical road...if only one does what Edouard did and finds a way to strut his stuff in the Mid-Atlantic.  Sort of like Eddie ran off and left the band and is touring the country in a hot red mustang. While all the rest of the way ward waves wander west hoping hungering for fame.

Note the wave behind and below Edouard is trying... so is the one rolling off of Africa. Note the depression in the Pacific fell apart as Odile sucked up all the energy...and lastly note that if something gets into the Gulf of Mexico it will do what Odile did... it will seek out a front and a favorable air flow like a heat seeking missile.

Baja will take quite the hit as they are not built for hurricanes. Sort of like those beautiful homes on the Northern Outer Banks.. they are made for Northeasters not storm surge from the tropics with a Major Hurricane. Homes in Miami are made with concrete and hurricane tie downs and even then they go pop in the night if a Cat 5 calls but the homes up north or down in Mexico are not really made for a storm like Odile. Many of the palm trees went whoosh in the tropical night.

Is Miami Beach really ready for a remake of the 1926 Great Miami Hurricane?

Look at Ocean Drive on South Beach during that storm... a lot more water ...

(I always have a problem with this pic as I think it's Miami not MB but it's credited with MB)

http://www.floridamemory.com/items/show/153868

The damage in the lobbies reminds me of the damage from Betsy on Miami Beach

Truth is they don't dance like Betsy no more to misquote Jimmy Buffett. 

They don't make them Odile very often.

And...they don't make them like Edouard much this year...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b7DUmQmHiXE

Category 2 Hurricane Edouard

.CATEGORY 2 EDOUARD MAINTAINING ITS STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.3N 55.5W
ABOUT 655 MI...1055 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB...28.53 INCHES

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT1+shtml/151437.shtml?

Will he make Cat 3? 

Stay tuned... 

check back soon...

Besos Bobbi

Ps.. To quote Ferris you didn't leave? Why are you still here?

Okay...so take a look at Cousin Sal who is loosening his grip on the Atlantic. If one of those waves wants to go for it... and take the dance floor...now might be a good time...

Where did the RED go??? 

Oranges and golds are on the tree leaves in Carolina

SAL has put on blue jeans... 

Bonus song for those who read this the whole way through ;)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nEQxNNP-5Mk