Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Wednesday, June 05, 2013

Tropical Storm Andrea Forms in the Gulf of Mexico









Tropical Storm ANDREA Forecast Advisory

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US Watch/Warning  
000
WTNT21 KNHC 052154
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM ANDREA SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012013
2200 UTC WED JUN 05 2013

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM BOCA GRANDE TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM
FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM BOCA GRANDE TO OCHLOCKNEE RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  86.5W AT 05/2200Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  86.5W AT 05/2200Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  86.6W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 26.5N  86.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 28.3N  85.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 31.0N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 34.5N  78.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 43.0N  67.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 45.0N  48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 47.0N  25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N  86.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BRENNAN



Look at the wind probabilities for the wide area from Florida to Canada
I'll be back with more information as it becomes available...

Besos Bobbi

 - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

SANTA CRUZ AZO 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   1(10)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)

PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   X(12)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   1(10)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  17(19)   X(19)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   9(15)   X(15)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   6(17)   X(17)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)

ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)

EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)

BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)

AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)

PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)

CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   1(10)   X(10)

HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   1(16)   X(16)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)   1(19)   X(19)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)

HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   1(13)   X(13)

NEW YORK CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)

BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)   X(15)   X(15)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

RICHMOND VA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)   X(11)   X(11)

NORFOLK NAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  14(19)   X(19)   X(19)
NORFOLK NAS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NORFOLK VA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  16(21)   X(21)   X(21)
NORFOLK VA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
NORFOLK VA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

WALLOPS CDA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  14(16)   X(16)   X(16)
WALLOPS CDA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GREENSBORO NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

RALEIGH NC     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   6(15)   X(15)   X(15)
RALEIGH NC     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  20(30)   X(30)   X(30)
CAPE HATTERAS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
CAPE HATTERAS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)  20(20)  12(32)   X(32)   X(32)
MOREHEAD CITY  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
MOREHEAD CITY  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  23(24)   7(31)   X(31)   X(31)
WILMINGTON NC  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
WILMINGTON NC  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

COLUMBIA SC    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)
COLUMBIA SC    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  26(28)   3(31)   X(31)   X(31)
MYRTLE BEACH   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
MYRTLE BEACH   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   6( 6)  25(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)
CHARLESTON SC  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
CHARLESTON SC  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

AUGUSTA GA     34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   9(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)  15(15)  16(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
SAVANNAH GA    50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
SAVANNAH GA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

MAYPORT NS     34  X   2( 2)  34(36)   8(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
MAYPORT NS     50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

JACKSONVILLE   34  X   3( 3)  35(38)   6(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
JACKSONVILLE   50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
JACKSONVILLE   64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   4( 4)  25(29)   3(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
DAYTONA BEACH  50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ORLANDO FL     34  X   5( 5)  19(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)

COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   3( 3)  12(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

PATRICK AFB    34  X   3( 3)  12(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

FT PIERCE FL   34  X   3( 3)   5( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

W PALM BEACH   34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

MIAMI FL       34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

KEY WEST FL    34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MARCO ISLAND   34  1   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

FT MYERS FL    34  1   6( 7)   5(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

VENICE FL      34  1  15(16)   6(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)

TAMPA FL       34  1  17(18)  18(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)

CEDAR KEY FL   34  1  16(17)  33(50)   1(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
CEDAR KEY FL   50  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

TALLAHASSEE FL 34  1   5( 6)  13(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ST MARKS FL    34  1   7( 8)  17(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
ST MARKS FL    50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

APALACHICOLA   34  1  13(14)   9(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
APALACHICOLA   50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GFMX 290N 850W 34  2  25(27)   8(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
GFMX 290N 850W 50  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
GFMX 290N 850W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

PANAMA CITY FL 34  1   6( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

COLUMBUS GA    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GFMX 290N 870W 34  1   6( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN/BRENNAN


posted by BobbiStorm @ 3:05 PM

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