Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Friday, October 19, 2012

Caribbean System Set to Come Together... TWC & NHC On Board



I'd say the NHC has given the Caribbean system a Go For Lift Off as they have circled an area in the Caribbean in Yellow and TWC has jumped on board the Hype Train.

They are so on board they had Bryan Norcross doing the Tropical Update today, explaining where and when the next system that  most likely would be Tropical Storm Sandy would be forming...



Keep watching the satellite loops:

Enh Infrared Satellite - GOES East 12 hr Loop

Fun to play with the models, but they are just models and until we see things coming together it's all conjecture. I think it's good conjecture and it most likely will come together, but til then the models will change often regarding strength and track.

It's too soon to show the models, but well everyone wants to see them.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ecmwf-opertc2.cgi?time=2012101912&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

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GFS a bit weak....

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2012101912&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

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http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ngptc2.cgi?time=2012101912&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation


There's a big gap between what is and what might be... so keep watching. The fact that the TWC is ramping up their program says a lot.

Otherwise... here in Carolina it was a beautiful day today. I wore my sandals, thinnest summer short skirt and tee shirt and held onto the illusion that it's really not going to be extremely cold in a week or two.

A cold front is moving down towards South Florida. However, there is a big bubble down in the Caribbean of nice warm air. And, that nice warm air and relatively low pressure should help get this storm named Sandy brewing and not just a fantasy storm.

Take care, enjoy and have a nice weekend...

Besos Bobbi

Ps... How bout that story down in Cuba? Castro had a stroke and they had to wait to get an Argentinian Doctor to finalize his prognosis... hmmmnn.

http://www.christianpost.com/news/fidel-castro-near-death-after-stroke-doctor-claims-83599/

Of course his family says it's not true.... http://now.msn.com/fidel-castro-is-rumored-to-be-near-death-despite-denials

Does the Devil ever die?

You can imagine I'm praying for an island totally free of Castro...