Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Friday, September 21, 2012

Nadine Moves South, Contrary to the NHC Discussion... Bad Girl. Azores Air Force Base....



You know sometimes a girl's got to do what a girl's got to do and in this case Tropical Storm Nadine has sort of given Avila the finger and decided to go South when he said she was going SE. And, imagine they will retaliate by making her an extra-tropical, sub-tropical, "we don't want to deal with her anymore tropical" and write this little puppy who refuses to grow up and go where they want her to go ... out of the Tropical Script. Sort of like being left on the cutting room floor because she would not sleep with the producer or director or well you get the idea.

She has been doing this for days. They could have written her off days ago with some meteorological, psycho babble about how she is lacking this or that and her wind speed and convection is scanty and they have done it before many times with a storm this far away. She has missed the Azores.. no need to worry anyone on the air bases there. Oh ... you didn't think there was a reason we have been watching her so carefully. Azores Air Force Base. It is often used to evacuate personnel from Africa and other European regions... think about it. Africa.. Libya.. this isn't Cocomo darling. There is a purpose behind everything the government does and the NHC is a government agency. That also means they have to verify their forecasts and compete for money along with everyone else and show their worth and value this year and every year. It's not Accuweather or Wunderground..

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._Forces_Azores

This isn't all about taking sexy shots from the beach as hurricanes make landfall, it's about security, watching shipping lanes (including our Naval Ships) and protecting bases, American people affected by tropical weather and providing meteorological information for other regional agencies that share and utilize our information.




Azores Air Force Base. Great picture below showing how much weather they get..



Map showing the Azores geographic importance to Benghazi and the general North African region and for NATO.


Let's go in a little closer... the red dot in the middle of the ocean is the Azores Air Force Base.

Here is Benghazi... lower right corner of this map... Bingo Benghazi I like to call it...


Oh...there's also the forecast track from the NAVY site:



Yes the Azores, are a great place to go with a close friend for a nice vacation.. a lot of history in the Azores. But, in our case it's a military priority to keep an eye on the weather their...especially this year.
Note the 5AM discussion by Avila, and I use him by name as he often puts the "I" word into his forecast discussions unlike most other forecasters.

"NADINE DOES NOT LOOK LIKE A TROPICAL CYCLONE ON SATELLITE...AND ITS 
FUTURE IS AS UNCERTAIN AS IT WAS LAST NIGHT. THE CENTER IS DEVOID
OF THUNDERSTORMS...AND THE ONLY CONVECTION IS WITHIN A BAND IN THE
SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. SINCE I DO NOT HAVE ANY NEW DATA...AND THE
CIRCULATION APPEARS TO BE VIGOROUS ON SATELLITE...THE INITIAL
INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 55 KNOTS. NADINE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS."

Note the 11 AM discussion and note that the 8AM position update said she was moving SOUTH. Actually, they do admit she was going a bit south... even west of south but they call it a temporary motion and they stick with her long term path. Is that like saying it's only a short term track problem, not a long term track problem?? Either way, Brennan is kinder to Nadine than Avila was...

"NADINE REMAINS A MARGINAL TROPICAL CYCLONE. MODEL ANALYSES AND PHASE
SPACE DIAGRAMS SUGGEST THAT THE CYCLONE REMAINS WARM CORE...WHILE
SURFACE DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF
NADINE IS SOUTH OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE AZORES."




They will soon write Nadine out of the script and the season will go on without her.. although with or without a name her weather will remain and it will move east.. eventually... towards some part of Europe... maybe even Africa. Maybe stray rain from Nadine will fall over Ben Gazi... who knows. Who cares? We care... because we love weather everywhere... especially when there isn't much else to write home about. Then again if she does move back towards the Azores they may be stuck with her for a while... observations have been picked up that she still has strong winds ... hmmmnn.

In fact, I haven't written on it and almost did yesterday but all the weather mets are going GaGa for a storm that is down near Uruguay. Yup, I said "down near Uruguay" which doesn't get "tropical like storms" often but does here and there and this year is a here and there and now.

Been reading on it. Not sure whether to mention it or not, but it's weather and everyone else is talking on it now so why not.

http://www.ctpost.com/news/nation-world/slideshow/Storms-pound-Uruguay-49328.php
The picture below is from the above article of waves crashing over a sea wall.

High waves from Rio de la Plata River crash over the sea wall on to an avenue during a heavy wind storm in Montevideo, Uruguay, Wednesday, Sept. 19, 2012. A powerful storm blew across the southern cone of South America, breaking windows in several buildings in Uruguay's capital, toppling about a hundred trees and cutting off three highways due to flooding. Photo: Matilde Campodonico, Associated Press / AP

Seems someone down under in South America got weather, they also had several deaths so far and that number may climb.


http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5i5IvtgnS2uPos2AInOM8YD6LSW1A?docId=c71bdc7548f249639287d52b0bfae2ba

Everyone's talking about it... even the Chinese are talking about it... to quote an old song. I don't think we have any bases there ... but TWC has contracts with advertisers in the travel business so they are talking about it..  reminding all of us that it is there... somewhere to the south, below Key West and the Caribbean... our own American Land Down Under :)

http://www.chinapost.com.tw/international/americas/2012/09/21/355038/9-dead.htm

So... lastly, the very last thing I am going to mention is that we STILL need to watch the Caribbean as that area most likely will get hot in a few weeks and the weather down there now is probably just a week or two, maybe ten days too early for a storm to form. Lucky Florida...however... with or without a named storm they will be getting slammed again and again this weekend with wet weather, rain and storms. Another day in the neighborhood for South Florida in September and September turns into October and that is when we get hit by storms from the SW... very wet storms I may add.

Is this beautiful or what? My friend Phil posted this on Facebook... a lot of great images on Facebook.



MYami :) love it... love every little thing about it...
http://www.facebook.com/phil.ferro <--- good source for local info and a good guy as well as a kick ass meteorologist!

Read up on the Azores and their military importance!

Besos Bobbi
Ps ...for the very beautiful Yaffah ;) (almost sounds like a harp there...giggling)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RFX3cICJh34 
http://www.milpages.com/blog/393
http://seanlinnane.blogspot.com/2010/06/worlds-strangest-military-bases.html

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