Hurricane Harbor: Nadine Goes SE... Invest is at 40% &... Some Interesting Areas to Watch...

There are some subtleties going on in the tropics. Something might happen...and then again nothing could happen. But, there are things to watch that are actually more interesting ...long term...than the 40% Orange Circle in the Middle of the Ocean bound for Nova Scotia.

This loop at 11AM shows us what some of the models have been hinting at. Look at the bottom of the tail of the Invest in the middle of the ocean. Bam... it goes orange and I'm not talking about an orange circle, but orange colored, coded convection at the base of the tail of the Invest... in "tropical" waters due East of Hispaniola. There has been talk that the new Invest could... mind you it's only a "could" spawn a second storm. For the first time I can see on the satellite imagery what the models are hinting at....

Also, there is an area of convection in the Gulf of Mexico that could develop in a day or so .. if the next cold front does not go as deep and moves more East... and that area lingers, it could fester a bit and form into something.

Next... there is still the area that is connected to the old remnant that the models thought would become Oscar. Shows you..sometimes the models are wrong...

The Invest in the Atlantic...the sub-tropical one... IS beautiful. Like one gigantic pinwheel. Makes me think of having raisin cinnamon bread for lunch which is way too many calories and most of it is on it's way to New York with some of my kids who are driving back from what has become the Bed and Breakfast we run in North Carolina.

Or it makes you want to go fly a kite... up to the highest height..

Okay, I am a bit tropically bored. But, I do not believe the season is over just because the MJO is not in our spot on Planet Earth and............I am a big believer in the MJO. I do believe we would have more development even with negative conditions IF the MJO was here mind you. I think we are in transition to the whacky, weird part of the Atlantic Tropical Hurricane Season known as October and November when storms come up out of the Caribbean and trace doodles on the hurricane charts... I do believe we are going to have an EARLY winter and probably a WET COLD winter along some parts of the East Coast and we are ahead of the normal curve of when things happen.

As for Nadine.... she may be on the maps through the rest of September... or a good part of it. I'm thinking they should start building a Nadine Wing to the NHC Library... as papers will be written on this storm for some time to come... as to why she won't die. Whatever supplements that girl is taking, I want to know what they are...

Remember that whole discussion yesterday out of the NHC how they were staying north of their model package. Seems Nadine went with the models. I'm waiting to see the first city to be listed in a wind probability statistic... cause she is going to have to do some fancy footwork and loop fast before impacting Africa and or the Cape Verde Islands! Has any storm ever done that? Am sure they have, but I have zero time for Googling new things.

Reminds me of Smokey and the Bandit. Okay, many things remind me of Smokey and the Bandit. But, you have to wonder if the NHC is beginning to feel a lot like Smokey chasing the Bandit all across the country and back...