Barbara Forming in EPAC? Non Tropical Low Over My House in Carolina. Rainy Day & a Rainy Night!! Atlantic Quiet For Now...

 

The EPAC is popping!! 80% Red!

Barbara looks to be forming soon!!

Oh and Barbara has a friend.........

30% chances on yellow circle.

Maybe it's just a fan... 

Follower? Stalker?

Hopes to dance with Barbara?

Gee the Atlantic seems so boring today.

There's a Low over my house literally!

A No Name Low........of course.

The old yellow area off Florida.........

....has run amok & is raining over the Carolinas.

Never formed but never was expected to...

...but is a rainmaker in a chaotic set up.

Things are swirling around in all directions.

But do have to tell you.........

...........it feels super duper humid here in NC.

Miami like humid.

Luckily a cold front is behind it!

Don't hate me! I'm not a summer person!

Speaking of cold fronts. 

This Pattern goes on & on.

EURO shows us a huge high ....

NW edge carved out with multiple frontal passages.

Barbara in the EPAC

Probably absorbs the little yellow area..

So in closing.

The High Pressure in the Atlantic for now owns it!

Give it a week or ten days... 

Action in the EPAC means count a week at least.

Not to say something couldn't pop up fast close in.

Small ... maybe a TD somewhere.

But not expecting company for dinner !!

Also a lot of discussion online....

MJO coming like the cavalry!!

Or maybe not......

Forecasts for MJO are just a forecast.

A week MJO in Carib could get us a TD

Some tropical action.

There's also discussion on everything... 

because nothing is really happening in ATL.

Have a good night.

Enjoy the rain in Carolinas.

Watch out for flooding advisories.

I do think that this is a season that will see hurricanes slide up the Eastern Seaboard close in and clipping certain areas that stick out such as Palm Beach, OBX, Long Island to name a few or at least feeling the surf and the wind. The Bahamas are in the cross hairs it seems by many who forecast areas that may feel a hurricane.... despite using totally different parameters most have Florida Coastline up to Mid Atlantic in play this year. I wouldn't bet on a La Nina nor an El Nino just yet. And, if anything develops it'll do so not underneath the huge High and probably favor action in the short and medium term in Carib into the Gulf. As always I remind you this is one region in ways if you look from the EPAC to the Gulf.... so use this time wisely and prepare for hurricane season.

Above GFS for Barbara and company.

It's the juicy part of the tropics

Further from the influence of the Highs.

As always the tail of any front bears watching.

Chow for now

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X

X mostly weather

Elsewhere no promises :)

It's a rainy night tonight.

I could sit up watching movies.

Sweet Home Alabama

and

Smokey and the Bandit!