A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!
Thursday, June 06, 2024
We Are in Maybe Mode on June 6th... Hurricane Season ...Signs Things Will Change Soon. Caribbean Gyre & African Waves May Fall In Love & Travel Together Soon
This is the SAL, people ask so here it is.
Normally busy in June and July, it's not making much headway into the Caribbean though it's there in parts. Some sites should the smoke from Mexico and Central American fires so going with this one as it's easier to see the bulk of the SAL. I'd float the question if the smoke from the fires has any impact on tropical development, but I'm just throwing it out there to remind myself to look into it. Either way, we have Saharan Dust out in the Atlantic that helps suppress African Waves moving Westbound in tandem with the SAL. Everything rides the atmosphere and the atmosphere has rivers within in it, some moving fast, some with lil kinks up and down and all around. The atmosphere is fluid on Planet Earth and that keeps everything moving properly.
The water is hot.
SAL less an issue where the water is hot.
Showing off this site today.
I failed to mention it a while back.
It gives you a fast look around the tropical basin and if you play with it you may remember there's more than one or two or five things to look at.
https://baynews9.com/fl/tampa/weather/tropical Tampa is a very tropical city that gets lucky, time and time again and that has allowed it to have steady growth to people who wish to escape the cold of the Northern cities in Winter, and provide a home year round for those who don't mind the muggy summers and the wild Thunderstorms. A modern city with world class sports teams and yet a taste of the history that helped make Tampa what it is today. My ancestors went through the 1921 Hurricane there, they left a legacy in my ancestors to properly be in awe of hurricanes and worry on those that could manage to shake the foundations on which we live. A bit of genetic DNA from my Great Grandfather who loved to sit on his balcony and look out over Tampa Bay and watch thunderstorms form. So Bay News 9 is a great resource for you to add if you are looking for an easy place to hit all the bases and get a feel for what's going on, especially when there's nothing going on.
Nothing is going on as of 8 AM this morning, so it's a good time to mention sites and places we go to get good info on the tropics, while wondering what might pop up close to land or be ejected out of the Caribbean Gyre towards a city we love, live and work in.
Watch the flow here.
Shear shooting NE out of Caribbean.
Bahama Mama Blog moving NE
Weak front oriented SW to NE sliding across E Coastl.
We just aren't there yet.
There's been a lot of talk on models showing a flip in the pattern in the atmosphere and its in line with our time line for 2024, and we just have to wait it out. Everyone talking model discussion and that's because we have no real tropical entity to discuss and dissect and debate on it's track or intensity. We just aren't there yet. But we are getting closer every day. I still think June 12th is around when we will have something to talk about more than models.
EURO is not interested today.
GFS shows a fairly good forecast today.
No Killer Cat 5 Hitting Nola headlines.
A slug of moisture riding over hot water.
Trying to develop into something.
Dropping copious amounts of rain.
Maybe something develops.
Maybe it a lot in June, as most years June is simply too soon and no I'm not gonna wax poetic on Hurricane Prep today, either you got it or you don't want to get until everyone races to Publix to buy water. I'm talking on Maybe today... and maybe is half full or half empty depending on how you look at life.
Long time readers of this blog know that I love this song and the singer who sings it. Funny story, my son went to Lollapalooza in Chicago which is not breaking news, as it's probably his favorite music festival. He took a chance on a Carley Rae's stage and was surprisingly wowed and talked a lot about her to me after as I sat in the car while he drove down his favorite streets in Miami smiling, because uh huh.... I'm not surprised.
Would you give your number to a stranger because you fell in love just watching them move while they were doing their thing? Would you fall in love in a minute, in an instant with every word of the conversation and innuendo to where it might be going? Maybe.... Smiling.
Okay he's an architect.
It's an awesome cityscape.
Snowstorms but not hurricanes.
So the point of my blog today is that you wait and wait and wait and wonder and discuss every undulation of the Caribbean Gyre and a westbound wave that night crash into said gyre and might connect, dance and getting caught up in the moment and get pulled North towards some early landfall. Maybe.
Going to a concert is different from a video at home.
Hurricanes in person are different than a clip on the news.
Location: Miami, Raleigh, Crown Heights, Florida, United States
Weather Historian. Studied meteorology and geography at FIU. Been quoted in Wall Street Journal, Washington Post & everywhere else... Lecturer, stormchaser, writer, dancer. If it's tropical it's topical ... covering the weather & musing on life. Follow me on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/#!/BobbiStorm
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