Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Friday, May 31, 2024

1 Day Til Hurricane Season. Models Hint at Something.... EPAC Maybe.... 2024 Hurricane Season Forecast to Use Every Name... Valerie and William for Halloween? Hurricane Prep NOW!

 


Sure you have seen this Meme, using it to tell the truth. When I say "prepare for Hurricane Season" I'm not just saying "prepare for a landfalling hurricane at your door" I am saying.... after the storm moves on. You are left with all the mess and it'll be 90 degrees with 100% humidity and no AC, no electricity for fans, no ice as it melts and the water may be off or contaminated. Whatcha going do then? You have 1 day before Hurricane Season offiicially begins. What are you waiting for???  Hurricane Prep is the name of the game today and this weekend. In Florida there are Tax Free Shopping for Hurricane Supplies, check it out... begins June 1st through June 14th! 

I'm going to show long range models today, they are long range and it's worth noting nothing is impending stopping y'all from shopping this weekend for hurricane supplies. Post Memorial Day Sales and Clearance Racks should be your goal as many supplies for that party weekend will be on sale and you can get good deals on non-perishable snacks, drinks, paper goods and such. The GFS, as usual, is more hot to trot for development of some kind in Carib and then it races off crashing into the High trying to kill it, but of course the High snaps back.


Low forms in SW Carib.
Traces the last few into ATL
Cuts it's way into the High.


Euro sees nothing.
Well does see an unorganized swath of moisture.
Rather cool air is in place today in NC.
But waters still hearing up.
Below is the Canadian.



Canadian similar to GFS 
Also sees an African Wave at higher lat??

In EPAC


10% yellow ... maybe....

This time of year the players are getting into place, it takes a while for everything to be set. You know Proms don't just appear out of nowhere, there are committees and decorations and menus and gowns to be bought. Then suddenly you walk into the room dressed up with your date, both of you dressed like you're going to a ball or disco or whatever...and it the room looks like heaven on earth. Music blares, people take photos they will look back on and remember with smiles and sadness sometimes as who knows where you'll be 50 years later down the road. And, you dance all night! 

The tropics need to warm up, the upper air patterns need to arrive in the right place. Shear needs to lessen at the entrance of the Caribbean and tropical waves need to lift north of 6 degrees North and get up to where they have a better chance of becoming a hurricane. The much awaited MJO needs to get it's act together and arrive exactly on time for pictures, dressed to kill. There are so many details to get a hurricane season rolling. So ignore the snore fest of "nothing happening in the tropics" from the NHC and beware the orange and red circles that will appear. It takes time. Mother Nature and the Florida Gov gives you time and sales to get what you need, BEFORE the orange and red circles appear!! And, get your game on before Mother Nature is ready to party all summer long into fall and you might lose your mind! Hurricane Prep!


13 years ago or so one of my sons got married at a waterfront mansion with a huge lawn and a tent, a bar that flowed and everyone dancing under the stars with the music blaring. This was the song of the hour. Mother Nature getting ready to party... Alberto, Francine, Gordon, Kirk, Sara and Rafael! Are you ready? Ps get lots of batteries for your radios and whatever old school toy you have to use when there's no power and your Spotify won't work because you have no battery left on your iPhone.    


Researchers be getting ready.
Chasers get in shape to chase.
Miamians... Houstonians...
Get Ready.
Charleston, Savannah... get ready.
Just do it!
1 day left til Hurricane Season.
Forecasts say we get thru all the names.
Hurricane Valerie and her date William??
Maybe for Halloween.


Gonna be a long season.
Prep NOW!!


Sweet Tropical Dreams,
BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Insta
Twitter weather, Insta whatever.


I'm an 80s girl.
Maybe you're a 70s guy??
Or 90s or 2010s??

Soon there will be Storm Warnings.
Prepare now PLEASE


Great name for a Storm Chaser ..isn't it?





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