A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!
Tuesday, March 28, 2017
Invest 90L Goes Out to Sea.. Gale System or Named Storm? Stay tuned... Anything Goes in 2017
Okay we are going to discuss the new Invest.
I should call it THE Invest as it's 1st of the season.
You may have wondered why I have been silent.
During the Hurricane Season (you know Prime Time after June 1st) I mention and wax poetic on all the possibilities of every little westbound tropical wave. I do so because there are probabilities and possibilities (she said redundantly) but no matter how wishy washy they look it is after all the Hurricane Season. March is not the Hurricane Seasons. As I said previously they can happen just like the rain in Spain, however there are certain parameters even for out of season systems. When models spit out garbage it's not right to give them the time of day. Let's say you go in your favorite restaurant and they are selling Gumbo as the "Soup of the Day" and you hate okra . . . Are you going to take it or wait for another day and another soup you like to come along?
Really a model took it off the map and to Africa.
Actually the model took it through the Straits of Gibraltar?
What are the chances of that mathematically?
Obviously we don't need models to know where it's going.
Out to sea.
Possibly near Bermuda.
But as what?
Arlene, the first name stormed, or a messy low pressure system?
It's March. You know how I know?
There is still snow on Mike's Weather Page ;)
Snowflakes on the white trees around the lake.
Looks a bit incongruous to talk tropics....
(wake up call Mike which way you going?)
So there IS an Invest.
The convection is shuffling off to the East.
There may or may not be some consolidation of a center.
Location: Miami, Raleigh, Crown Heights, Florida, United States
Weather Historian. Studied meteorology and geography at FIU. Been quoted in Wall Street Journal, Washington Post & everywhere else... Lecturer, stormchaser, writer, dancer. If it's tropical it's topical ... covering the weather & musing on life. Follow me on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/#!/BobbiStorm