Arlene First Name of the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season. When Will It Form? Could a Rare March Storm Form? Has Happened but... time will tell......

Can Hurricanes happen in March?

It's rare but they can happen.

But hurricanes rarely happen in March.

So why are we talking about it?

Because models are showing possibilities.

So we are dancing here with possibilities ...

Current satellite images from that area today are below:

Just a long, old frontal boundary draped across the area.

Hmnnn...

A quick update going into the weekend concerning possible development of some kind... in the Atlantic. I'd give it a 45/55 chance of forming right now and when I say forming I mean "some sort of low pressure system" with tropical like weather. The first name of the season is Arlene and often early subtropical storms develop just East of the Bahamas at the end of old frontal boundaries. And often they come close, models are run and sometimes an Invest gets named and nothing happens. It's worth noting the water to the North of there is not tropical and cold air is still in charge of the party this weekend. Next week should be warmer and more tropical friendly...

A strong NE flow out of the Caribbean.

You can compare and contrast in a few days.

Is Arlene in the wings?

Yes, 100% for sure.

But will Arlene form in the Atlantic soon?

Possibly maybe.

To quote the old Magic 8 Ball..

Ask Again Later.

For now nothing is happening.

Down the road... it's a definite possibility.

Something to watch...

The official start of the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season is June 1st!

Have a great weekend.

Check back later in the weekend.

To see if any purple circles pop up.

Read the previous post to read more model discussion.

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

Ps Rob from www.crownweather.com...

pointed out the last March system was in 1908

1908 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

One did form near there but it went into the Carib.

Not out of the Carib...

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1908/1/track.gif