Gulf Coast Weather Moving North Towards Mid West. California Fire Hose Stuck ON. What Does This Mean? El Nino? Hurricane Season?

Quiet today and then the weather comes back again.

An ongoing Seesaw pattern this winter.

I have a few things to say about the weather over the next few days and yet it is basically more of the same. Note the maps above and you see this ongoing busy, crazy, stormy weather and then quiet unseasonably warm across a good part of the country and then it's calm again. And, after discussing US weather trends I will give an honorable mention to the tropics at the end of this post.

Some Gulf Coast action as well as...

...the atmospheric river that's out of control in California.

Otherwise it's a quiet day today.

I want to show several shades of the same system here.

Note the Low winding up, funneling GOM moisture North.

It almost looks like a five year old tried to draw a hurricane symbol.

In the Louisiana, Mississippi area there is weather.

Following the water vapor loop above it moves North.

Up the mid section of the country.

When you have that much warm moisture moving North...

...it will eventually hit colder air and that collision brings severe weather.

Not so stormy today but stormier in a few days.

You can see this atmospheric ballet below.

Also note a lot of weather around Florida.

Dave Schwartz used to say the flip side of air moving down fast...

...was it forces air to move up on the other side.

He loved showing long loops where this played out on air

Know it's there... 

And know the river of misery in California continues.

That fire hose set up aimed at the West Coast ....

...is stuck in the on position.

I lived in LA. 

People lie it does rain.

But it doesn't pour often.

Northern California is beautiful but not used to deluges of rain.

Above you can see the systems lining up to land at LAX soon.

As for the tropics in February my favorite color popped up today.

Hmnnn. 

And it hasn't gone unnoticed. 

It's not a named tropical storm forming

It's a Gale of sorts.  Stormy weather.

We watch patterns, however patterns aren't always facts.

But they are always worth watching.

And something tropical is always forming somewhere.

But even that region of the world is producing low numbers.

Note a lot of people are discussing what the rains in California mean. There's been a lot of discussion on whether we are headed into a strong El Nino or a neutral year or a weak El Nino Year. As far as I'm concerned it's too soon to tell. It's been an extremely awkward year in many ways with mixed signals and I believe this will continue for sometime. I read in one post from a good meteorologist that this flooding in LA and California was the worst since 1995 and 2004 and if that is true it makes you wonder as many are saying this is El Nino related. Note the hurricane seasons of 1995 and 2004 were epic and not what we would consider your usual low numbers in the Atlantic. So facts can be twisted, patterns can be misunderstood and when Mother Nature seems out of whack it's best to stand back and watch it play out before making big conclusions about the future.

If I was a weather doctor I'd suggest Mother Nature take some meds because she's been a bit Bi Polar these days and even a bit Manic. Happens, it's not the end of the world, but she might want to take some Passion Flower Tea or whatever it is that is popular these days to pop to chill out a bit. Whole Foods sells "Happy Camper" Mother Nature might want to check it out.

Just saying.

Maybe sprinkle some in the Pacific for California's sake.

Stay tuned.

Keep appreciating the weather.

If you don't like it... it changes every day ;)

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

Ps Note there is a season to every season.

Some years it all comes at once every other week.

This has been that sort of winter.