A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!
Tuesday, November 22, 2016
Updated!! Hurricane Otto Stationary Forecast to Move West Towards Central America
Track an extrapolation of the earlier track.
There is some discussion on a more S of West movement.
But it all depends on the High and how much it digs.
How fast Otto moves ....
Beautiful signature really.
Clearly visible now.
Cradled there in the curve...
..where the Caribbean Sea meets Central America.
Just North of Panama.
Compact, neat hurricane.
Otto is your typical late November storm that refuses to go NE and take the shorter road out of the Atlantic Basin. The short road being the narrower parts of Central America. Sadly, small towns are in it's way and even a weak hurricane can create misery from torrential rains. Flooding may be a problem if the path across Central America is a slow one. For now Otto is forecast to pick up speed in a few days as it makes landfall. The forward speed and strength of Otto will tell the story. A stronger storm may make it into the Pacific intact, a weaker storm moving slower may rain itself out over the villages in it's path. Currently Otto is stalled and strengthening. Otto is forecast to become a hurricane sooner rather than later.
The greens that are flaring up show rapid intensification bursts.
Very close but not there yet.
Nicaragua and El Salvador are in it's path.
Should it take a more Southerly track.
Say WSW vs West
Costa Rica and Panama could be impacted.
Either way rain will affect the general area.
Models show a general Westward movement.
November Hurricanes can be quirky.
Note it stays together in the Pacific.
We can discuss this later.
For now the discussion is as such:
When all is said and done this is Otto:
Close to land.
These are the cities that will be impacted in it's path.
A beautiful atmospheric ballet.
Otto spinning about.
Fronts moving West to East to the North.
Looking at the water vapor loop you can see why it's trapped down there.
Remember that last cold front pushed all the way thru Key West.
But... it's fun to watch.
Fun from far away.
Love this view.
Changing gears you can see how cold the water is in the GOM
Look at those cold water clouds in the GOM.
Beautiful storm really. Picture perfect.
Martha in 1969 would be the last hurricane in those parts.
This late in the year.
Not a long tracker but memorable.
November Hurricanes are like that and they form often in that part of the world. As cold fronts take over the main stage on TWC with names from Greek Gods marching steadily East with sleet, snow and even occasionally graupel the tropics are busy in the SW Caribbean. It doesn't happen often, but it happens. A nice PS to the season and a stronger than average number of hurricanes have happened. This is still a Tropical Storm but a strong one knocking on hurricane status currently.
Stay tuned. The season isn't over until it's over and officially it doesn't end until November 30th. Note as this season started with a storm in Mid January this may be the longest hurricane season in history but I'll leave that to the experts to argue out.
Back in the USA
Winter is on the move.
If you are traveling for Thanksgiving.
Stay on top of the weather please.
Personally traveling back to NC for Thanksgiving.
A quiet one planned out so far.
After the Bar Mitzvah in NY.
Sorry for any non weather related Tweets.
But you don't get parties like that very often.
And as we had snow flakes in NY :)
It became a weather vacation !!
Love seeing snow of any kind falling.
Even flurries flying about in the air.
Dancing their way down to the ground.
@bobbistorm on Twitter
Ps... Be well, be happy and enjoy the satellite loops.
Location: Miami, Raleigh, Crown Heights, Florida, United States
Weather Historian. Studied meteorology and geography at FIU. Been quoted in Wall Street Journal, Washington Post & everywhere else... Lecturer, stormchaser, writer, dancer. If it's tropical it's topical ... covering the weather & musing on life. Follow me on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/#!/BobbiStorm