Updated! No News on El Faro. Bermuda Due to Get Weather from Joaquin. I95 Closed in SC. Invest 91 in the Atlantic... Not Over Yet

Sunday Evening.

Some good news..

Joaquin has stayed West of Bermuda.

However much of the strong weather is to the East.

In Florence SC a dam has broken .. could impact I95.

http://www.wmbfnews.com/story/30182419/dam-failure-could-impact-i-95-in-florence

If you can do not travel through South Carolina on I95. 

Not much more I can add..

I have friends in Myrtle Beach. Worried on them.

More things to pray for I guess..

I know that area so well.. 

... can't imagine it looks like an inland lake.

As for the El Faro...There is a 225 mile debris field.

The Coast Guard can't or won't confirm it's from the ship.

Not a good sign. Very sad.

Trying to be joyous going into the 2 Day Holiday of Simchas Torah.

I'll be off until late Tuesday. 

Safe in misty, rainy, gray Raleigh.

From my friends in Columbia, SC

Please go to the following sites for all your weather news.

www.spaghettimodels.com

www.hurricanecity.com

www.crownweather.com

AND

www.nws.gov

Put your zipcode in or your city or state.

VOILA the weather is there for you.

The NWS may not be live on air like the NHC

But they are working through the night on your behalf.

On Facebook Mike's Site Rocks

https://www.facebook.com/TropicalUpdates?fref=ts

Besos BobbiStorm.

Keep reading please below.

Update as of 3 PM.

Oil Sheen seen during search for El Faro.

Not a good sign. 

Flooding and evacuations going on in Myrtle Beach

Columbia South Carolina.

Living up to the historic forecast...

I20 and I26 now shut down.

I95 closed in parts of SC.

If you don't have to drive ...don't!

If you are going that way..

...find a place to stay ..

No one is going anywhere right now.

Cars completely underwater

Governor of SC is asking people to 

SHELTER IN PLACE

Same could be said for Bermuda... 

Eye almost there... moving NNE on radar.

Flash Floods in Columbia SC 

So much news today.

Charleston being slammed.

South Carolina Flood

and 

Missing Ship with 33 People on board...

Going to lead today with the search for the El Faro.

33 lives on board, most from the US tho that's not important.

33 people are missing from a container ship lost in Joaquin.

Lost in a Category 4 Hurricane that was it seems underestimated.

Coast Guard is searching...

The news is always the same.

They are searching.

There are people behind the pictures of the huge container ship.

Everyone wants to know "why"

"What were they thinking?"

Again it was a Tropical Storm when they left port...

I'll talk more on this later ...

Just an update to say...

...they are still searching.

And in this case.. no news is not good news.

Joaquin at 11 AM Sunday

Straight from the source..of course.

The NHC feels the center will miss Bermuda.

But Bermuda will not miss damaging winds.

At least it's only 110 MPH now (only...)

And, not a Category 4 Hurricane anymore.

Seems Joaquin is going to see the Queen.

Or maybe Scotland. 

But first we hope it misses Bermuda.

Bermuda is the red dot just outside the cone.

Sort of straddling the right edge of the cone.

A wide right missed Field Goal putting it in layman's terms.

If a picture is worth a thousand words, here's four of them.

Note the cone from 5 AM and 8 AM has been the same.

A near miss for Bermuda but Bermuda gets weather.

Why not? Everyone else is getting weather.

That is Joaquin NOW.

So news of his demise is a little premature.

He's still a force to be reckoned with . . . 

Note  how strong weather is on the E side.

Bermuda is unfortunately on the E side of the Cone.

I guess Bermuda misses the eye...

...but gets the weather.

Amazing... Joaquin went SW only to go NE again.

And head back to Bermuda.

Boomerang Hurricane. 

Yeah, I eat spaghetti models and live at Hurricane City.

Go figure...

I'll update later today on Joaquin and Bermuda in real time.

I'll also update if there is any news on El Faro.

Let's turn our attention SE where Invest 91L is trying to organize

In every language the story is the same.

All eyes turn East in the Caribbean Islands.

Hoping the models continue to take this out to sea.

No it's not all about Joaquin at the NHC

They are working over time this October

Why there are Invests with such low yellow chances...

??

Back to the Flooding.

AS I keep saying it's not just about Charleston.

Columbia SC is having sudden flash flooding.

Is that redundant or what but I heard it on air.. 

True.. 

The creek began to rise.

The river is rising.

http://www.weather.gov/cae/

I95 was closed for 30 miles earlier.

Still closed in South Carolina.

Stay on top of it if you are traveling.

This is a flood event.

A wind event in some places.

A high surf event.

Mother Nature on the Rampage.

In concert with El Nino.

And they say MJO is on the way

But let's not borrow trouble from down the road.

To understand the set up NOW ... 

Let's look at this great link

http://hint.fm/wind/

This started as an art project.

Computer engineering students worked on it..

...my son told me that .. he knows ;)

Zoom in...

This is the pressure gradient that is fueling this high surf problem.

The rains are fueling the flooding.

It's a dangerous and historic combination

Again Saturated Grounds + Wind = Trees Down

Trees Down = Power Problems

Too much rain in red clay countries + high terrain = Flooding

Flash Flood potential is high across the South right now, as it is upland in places. Soil is already saturated, additional rain may run off and cause new areas of flooding. It's a very ... fluid... situation.

In Raleigh the Neuse River is currently at 15.4 feet and flood stage is 15 feet. Flooding begins along the Neuse River Walk at the base of the water treatment plant when there is a problem. Luckily we aer not getting the rains here that they are down the road in South Carolina or we could have a huge problem. http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=rah&gage=SMFN7

Does anyone here still listen to the Weather Radio? Confession: I do. Not always, but sometimes while watching the Miami Dolphins try to play the NY Jets and while looping loops online and while talking on Twitter and Whatsapp to my kids spread around the country this week. I'm the Queen of Multi-tasking it seems.

You hear things sometimes that you don't notice in passing on your Twitter Feed or the local forecast discussion you didn't read because you were slicing and dicing a Hurricane far away and worrying on friends who live in the general Charleston area. "Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding will continue" Something about concerns for the base of a water treatment plant.. Even far from the training rains in Charleston...there are flooding problems. And, they are across a large swath of the East Coast as rivers fill up and eventually that water goes down river again...

I heard it said today that the impacts from the "RAIN" in Charleston may equal the impacts of Hugo. That's a blog for another day and I believe they mean Charleston and not islands off shore that were blown off the map in Hugo.. In NJ along the beach walkways, docks and some houses has slipped into the ocean victim to high surf. For my readers in Long Island...if you live inland you generally are safe. The areas a long the beach are a problem.

If you have a house in Wildwood NJ... it may be shown on TWC as they have had severe problems along the New Jersey coast there. Very severe problems. Christie who has little respect at times for weathermen (he's on the record) has declared a State of Emergency.

http://www.nbcnews.com/news/weather/flash-floods-once-every-200-years-rainfall-event-loom-south-n438041

http://hurricanecity.com/books.htm

Jim often interviews authors online.

He, and most weather people, love ship stories.

I'm sure someone will write one about El Faro and Joaquin.

We can only pray the book on El Faro has a happy ending...

In my own personal life... 

Yesterday I opened the windows. I went out onto the balcony and watched the pine trees swaying in the wind and it was cool, very cool. Winter felt like it wasn't so far away and it was definitely Autumn. Then last night the rains came back, the railing outside was cold and condensation formed fast... and then it was warm and humid again. The rains came back.. doesn't feel cold today, raining and wet and a bit windy. Pines are still swaying beautifully.

Apparently the wind was strong enough over night to knock down the BBQ downstairs on the patio. After my shower this morning I see it's upright again. There was a wind warning over night. I'm less worried on his Football theme BBQ then I am the Miami Dolphins being able to score in England. I have a 2 day holiday that begins this evening and this morning it looks a lot like it did in Raleigh last week. I keep pretending I am in Seattle, it's gray but we have the wrong type of pine trees.. but I can pretend. My son sent me an audio clip of people partying their the other night for the Jewish holiday of Sukkos. Sounded like New York. Did you know there is a Statue of Liberty on Alki Beach in Seattle

That's not the Blue Ridge Parkway.. not VA not TN not NC.

That's Seattle. Google it and learn the story behind it.

They also have palm trees there and a nearby tropical rainforest.

Isn't it amazing that a place so far north can have palm trees?

Carolina palm tress at that.

My son and his family almost moved there but didn't.

They moved to an area near the college .....

....with a nice Chabad House across the street.

I love Seattle. 

It does not have hurricanes.

It's a big beautiful world.

That is the point of my blog today.

A big beautiful world.

They have more palm trees in Seattle than we do in North Carolina.

And there's a Hurricane Ridge with hurricane force winds in the mtns.

And you feel like you are living on the Ocean but you are inland.

And, they have big, big, big ships like the missing container ship.

Except there the ships usually are bringing in Salmon.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/laura-lippstone/12-reasons-to-love-seattle_b_5106188.html

My mind is all over the place.

I have 2 Miami kids rooting for the NY Jets to beat Miami.

At least Mendy and Shayna will be happy...

That's what happens when your kids live in NY often.

Or whatever........

They are my soundtrack for today's blog 

As I go back and forth to TWC and the Fins losing.

I am not a Tannenhill fan...

I'll be back later and I'll update any breaking news at the top.

Let's pray for the 33 lost souls on board the El Faro.

Pray for the people in places like Columbia SC..

Pray Jim dries out in Charleston ...

Pray for Charleston.

Fantastic article on Charleston and the reason flooding is a huge problem.

http://m.charlestoncitypaper.com/charleston/the-historical-reason

-why-charlestons-streets-flood/Content?oid=4706751

A little bit of history...

Seems my FamilyDNA shows some Jews who got lost in Charleston once..

And other areas after leaving England.

Something about the Rutledge House...

Go figure. Yeah figures.

A lot of people get lost along the way in life.

Hopefully.........the 33 people on board the El Faro get found alive.

No news in this case is not good news.

Besos BobbiStorm

Ps Some video of a the ship lost in Mitch.

Understand people love the water.

People love to sail.

People love to work on the water.

That's the reason my Great Great Grandpa Jake sailed ....

....to Key West from England.

Why he took his wife Chaya Sara and their kids to live there.

She loved the water and warm weather.

People often live good lives working on board ships of all types.

People who wish they did ...take vacations on ships.

What a way to spend a vacation...