Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Thursday, September 03, 2015

40% Orange Circle to be Grace? Fred has a friend. Is Erika finding her center?


The tropics today look busy.
As if a child only was given 2 crayons.
Blue and Purple.

Lots of color but no Invest for the orange circle on NHC.
No Invest for remains of Erika.
Fred... in dream land not getting anywhere.


You see Fred has a new friend.



Some people say her name is Grace.
She's dressed in orange or maybe has orange hair.
You know like Charlie Brown's dream girl.


This is a bit confusing.
Try following along.
In order to see the new wave with the Orange Circle...
...you need to look at long loops.

As of 5 PM it has no Invest and no Floater.

What many are calling GRACE is near Africa.
Lower down than Fred... wants to cross under the strong high.
Good luck...

The area off of the coast of FL formerly known as Erika..
...does have a floater but no Invest.

You can see Erika's problem here.
Note the floater labeled it Erika not me.

rb_lalo-animated.gif (720×480)

Strong flow, pushing storms away from its center.

vis_lalo-animated.gif (720×480)

Perhaps we have a jumper...


Random thought to think on......

Where is the center?

Does Erika have a "true North" ??
She may go South... who knows....

Looks better from far away than up close...


What was Erika is lingering off the coast of Florida.
A naked swirl up close with an orange dress blown away.
The convection is not over her circle.

sat_wv_east_loop-12.gif (640×512)

Water vapor shows a strong flow of moisture in the GOM.
I still think it's possible something could spin there.
Shear would need to quiet down.
Keep watching.


Over closer to Africa...and what could be Grace...
Note Fred also is naked.
What are the tropics coming to in 2015?

avn_lalo-animated.gif (720×480)

Center visible.. convection off to the side ...

What a year. 
Such strong shear thanks to El Nino..
...and dust form his pal SAL

Keep watching.

On a personal note I'm used to guys with beards.
IF not for the hoopla on Twitter I wouldn't have noticed.

I'd rather have some good weather discussion on TWC.
With a beard or without a beard Sam Champion is the same person.

But read my previous post to see my thoughts on the matter.
http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/2015/09/
should-cantore-and-bastardi-debate-on.html

As for Fred and Grace...
Reminds me of Charlie Brown... watching the red haired girl..


Keep dreaming Fred.... dream on...

Sweet Tropical Dreams
BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter

Note I'm going to leave this up again here... It's great footage and a good reminder than even then astronauts in the sky were taking pics of the tropics down below. 1965.. oh what a time it was for the Atlantic, Weather Modification programs and the Space Program .. lots of programs. A real #TBT as we remember Hurricane Betsy, like Andrew and Katrina she did Florida and Louisiana.




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