Will Invest 96L become Cristobal? Why can't Essie choose the Hurricane Names for Next Year?

Tropical Depression?

Is this the center?? That's what the NHC will find out today when recon goes in.....

Invest 96L is S L O W L Y coming together in a swirly sort of dance where occasionally the energy shifts from one center to another and then back to what appears to be the real center. Recon is going out this afternoon to get a good fix on just where the real center is and we should know more later today. We may even have a Tropical Depression by 5PM...or 8PM...or 11PM. Well, you get the idea.

Tropical Storm?

Why color is so important and why sometimes you need to stand back and get a wide view.

Pet peeve: Friends who use close ups to look at each cell that lose the bigger picture..

Loop this for yourself and watch it's progress. 

http://www.intellicast.com/Storm/Hurricane/CaribbeanSatellite.aspx?animate=true

So....while we wait and watch Invest 96L tease us hourly with bursts of color and then hand offs of energy better suited to a college football game...I'm going to throw out an idea about a better way to name Hurricanes. And, by the way I've heard a lot of complaints this year more than most years.

It occurred to me this morning that we should let Essie give the names for the Hurricane Season. Or maybe OPI. Their lists are beginning to get stale... I mean how many versions of Chris and Ed can you come up with?? We are now on Cristobal and Edward deviations are running high with two... count em 2 variations on that name being the always impossible to spell Edouard and Teddi buried at the back of the list. How does that even happen? Shouldn't their be laws? I mean it's redundant.

And....some names need mediation on the exact way to say them despite the NHC having to put out a cheat sheet for pronounciation.

Originally it was said they named them after wives, friends and relatives. Got to tell you someone at the NHC was watching a whole lot of One Life to Live as the names were heavily slanted towards that there show...

Katrina

Karen

Marco

Larry

Vince

Tony

Fiona

Erika

Vicky

Victor

The list goes on.. some may have been retired...

And, seriously it's nice to say that these are Caribbean names but I live in the Capital of the Caribbean (or Gateway if you prefer) Miami...and these are not all Caribbean names...

Dolly

Kyle

Sally

Teddy

Nooooooooooooo  not unless the Caribbean means somewhere out in horse country or Homestead.

So why don't they turn this job over to the people who do it best? The nail polish companies who specialize in finding just the right name for the each season. Why not have a Hurricane palette for the next Summer season?

So let's look at my new colors for the NHC Main Page

Yellow for weak systems with multiple centers........

The trendy 2014 Summer color of ROARRRRANGE for Medium probabilities

And...Russian Roulette Red...as everyone will want to know where's it going... 

As for the name question..... why not famous football players or NASCAR drivers? 

Just something to think on while wondering when Invest 96L becomes Cristobal.

As for where Cristobal goes it ALL depends on where the real center of Cristobal is...

Why you ask?

Because the model is initialized from where the center is and if you get the center off the track is not as viable (good) as if you get it right (bingo) or as many say "garbage in, garbage out" when doing computer programming. 

A good model has to validate the way a good pass needs to reach the intended target not be intercepted because the timing was off...or something was off... 

Good model = TOUCHDOWN

Bad model = INTERCEPTION

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EgyWKfoX3jM

<iframe width="420" height="315" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/EgyWKfoX3jM" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

Now I think I've put this out there in the way that all the sexes involved in can get it...

I'll be back with hardcore information on modeling and analyses of whatever we have this afternoon...unless Invest 96L is just teasing us and falls apart a bit... blows out... busted.

Truth is it has negative conditions for quite a while as there is a lot of shear form the ULL to it's NW and it's more likely to develop or intensify further down the road and closer in.

Possible spoiler alerts:

The High might build back in forcing it towards a landfall vs out to sea. But... no lock on any track right now. 

Fish or not? That is the question... Oh look what that line is behind it? Hmnnn

Besos Bobbi

Ps... until we get that recon data or the NHC decides to upgrade based on satellite imagery I'm going to go shopping or paint my nails and save my eyes for later tonight when I'll be online for hours staring at loops and wondering on why can't the NHC be more creative with names!!

Ps if this worked you truly are an angel ;)