Drama in DC - Floyd Anniversary for NC - FL Watch the Caribbean

The image above from the NHC NOAA does not really tell the story.

This tells more of the image. Maybe the 80% red circle forecast to form & curve out to sea will be Jerry

but there is no circle yet in the Caribbean and that's the REAL story here today.. 

as well as the swirl over South Florida that has been a stationary feature since Sunday..for two days now.

Honestly though I am watching the drama in DC unfold in real time as I type this and obviously the tropics this morning are taking a back seat to the unfolding tragedy in DC.

Weather is deteriorating and could become a factor.


A frontal boundary is moving through the area. An early season Cold Front.

Several people have been killed, multiple wounding and a high number of injured at the Navy Yard.

Suddenly... out of nowhere news and tragedy happens. Ironic that Weather always gets the blame for tragedies and in truth people cause more tragedies than the weather does... every day...somewhere around the globe.

http://www.wjla.com/weather/radar/

The images from the NHC NOAA don't really tell the story. The story is yet to be told... and we watch in real time the way we watch the drama in DC.



The real story is the area in the Caribbean that is beginning to jell together into a possible system. It really has a "look" and really bears watching.

Yesterday it rained ALL day in South Florida... light rain, off and on but the thunder went on and on and on. My son called to tell me he NEVER remembers a day when it thundered like rolling thunder from sunrise to sunset and into the dark of the night.



Also note there is a wave that entered the Caribbean on it's way to hook up with that area of convection partying in the Caribbean and if those two connect we may have a Caribbean system later this week.

I've said it over and over... the Caribbean is ripe for development and a safe place for a system to develop sooner rather than later and easier than the Atlantic of Gulf of Mexico. Again remember.. Mother Nature finds a way.

Notice the banding look in the Caribbean and the twist off of South Florida.



And the westbound wave fighting it's way through the shear zone of the Eastern Caribbean.

The drama goes on ...

For people who live Down East in North Carolina it's an anniversary of Hurricane Floyd.



This famous landmark well inland was underwater from Floyd's Inland Flooding.

Check out how far inland this famous BBQ restaurant is...

We aren't talking about the Outer Banks or Wilmington...

A must read is this great book by Jay Barnes...or anything he has written.



    

http://jaybarnesonhurricanes.com/faces-from-the-flood/#.Ujch3MasiSo

http://www.kingsbbq.com

Warning East Carolina BBQ is not your typical Texas or Memphis BBQ...

Not the pork isn't covered in red sauce...

http://www.kingsbbq.com/t-menu.aspx

Note they rebuilt.... life went on.

The floods in Colorado are tragic and just making the news as it's Monday and now they are back burner again because of the shootings in DC. A thousand people are unaccounted for in Colorado still. Many may be safe, but unable to contact others as they are cut off from communication.

http://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2013/09/15/boulder-colorado-floods-larimer/2815667/

These are the headlines that are on back burner today...

Note after Floyd made landfall on TWC no one realized for days that there was such bad Inland Flooding. The story came out in bits and pieces...first online on message boards before we saw it on the media.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b9NDx6MV_pI

<iframe width="420" height="315" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/b9NDx6MV_pI" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

A look back at John Hope discussing Floyd and a reminder how close it came to taking out South Florida.

As it moves up the coast... 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ebv70PoJhT8

<iframe width="420" height="315" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/ebv70PoJhT8" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

NOTE... FEMA came on and talked on low lying area and flooding, but no one really paid attention or thought inland meant INLAND.

Took days for the true story to come out. Inland Flooding the likes of which NC had not seen in years and years. 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=njM8F02ZhvM

<iframe width="420" height="315" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/njM8F02ZhvM" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

News is coming in that a shooter in the DC shootings may be dead. 

As always with both the weather and the news the real story comes in later in bits and pieces playing out in real time. 

Bobbi Storm's Bottom Line:

Watch the Caribbean for development later in the week. Yes, Jerry will form, but it won't be the story. 

Karen may be the real story... the K Storm... the K Cane... the next Caribbean Cane may be a storm to remember. 

A weak trof of any kind at the end of an old frontal boundary NEEDS to be watch always.

Watch the area around Florida. It may be an ULL, but it sure seems to be showing up well at the surface or in the mid-levels. Either way... it's one heck of a "dirty" side of an ULL.

As always keep watching.

Besos Bobbi

Ps... 

Ingrid IS making landfall.. you can watch it http://spaghettimodels.com where they have a webcam set up.

http://spaghettimodels.com

NHC official bottom line buried in the discussion on tropical waves and weather in the Atlantic

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN W OF 80W 
AND N OF 15N. A MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM E PANAMA TO COSTA 
RICA PRODUCING SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION 
FROM 7N-11N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALSO INLAND OVER 
CENTRAL AMERICA FROM COSTA RICA TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. 
SIMILAR CONVECTION IS OVER CUBA AND JAMAICA. ELSEWHERE... 
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE E CARIBBEAN AND PUERTO RICO E OF 
70W. AN IMPRESSIVE AMOUNT OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED 
STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER COLOMBIA AND W VENEZUELA. IN 
THE UPPER LEVELS...UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS OVER THE W CARIBBEAN W 
OF 80W PRODUCING NORTHERLY WINDS. A SMALL UPPER LEVEL LOW IS 
CENTERED OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR 18N70W PRODUCING SCATTERED 
SHOWERS. MORE UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE OVER THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 
65W PRODUCING SOUTHERLY WINDS. EXPECT...THE AREA OF DISTURBED 
WEATHER LOCATED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TO MOVE 
WESTWARD ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN 
GULF OF MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WHERE A BROAD AREA OF 
LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM BY THE END OF THE WEEK.