Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Monday, November 05, 2012

Winter Storm & Election Day... Problems Exist



 


HIGH WIND WATCH now up for DE, most of NJ, and parts of MD/PA. Gusts to 65 along coast possible later Wednesday.



Coastal Flood Watches now out for NJ/DE coast ahead of Nor'easter. Forecast level 4-5' LOWER than Sandy at Sandy Hook.



Looking around online there is much to be said warning about problems from the new Winter Storm. I'm starting with the above tweeted info from Mike Seidel.


I'm showing the text of the watch that he posted on Twitter above.. note the names of the cities you have read about that were most devastated by Sandy



Coastal Flood Watch

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
315 PM EST MON NOV 5 2012

...A STRONG COASTAL STORM IS EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BE LOCATED OFF THE
VIRGINIA CAPES ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
NORTHWARD TO THE WATERS OFF DELAWARE AND NEW JERSEY ON WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO PULL AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST ON
THURSDAY.

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-061200-
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.A.0002.121107T1600Z-121108T1300Z/
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
315 PM EST MON NOV 5 2012

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WATCH. IT IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING.

* LOCATION...COASTAL AREAS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE AND ALONG
  DELAWARE BAY.

* COASTAL FLOODING...MODERATE FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED AROUND THE
  TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WATER
  LEVELS MAY NOT RECEDE MUCH BETWEEN THE TWO HIGH TIDES.

* AT SANDY HOOK, NEW JERSEY (SANDY HOOK BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  118 PM WEDNESDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET
  ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 212 AM THURSDAY,
  WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
  WATER.

* AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS, NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  1248 PM WEDNESDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET
  ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 142 AM THURSDAY,
  WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
  WATER.

* AT ATLANTIC CITY, NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT
  101 PM WEDNESDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 157 AM THURSDAY, WITH
  A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT CAPE MAY, NEW JERSEY (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 135 PM
  WEDNESDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 231 AM THURSDAY, WITH
  A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* AT BREAKWATER HARBOR, DELAWARE (DELAWARE BAY) HIGH TIDE OCCURS
  AT 221 PM WEDNESDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET
  ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 302 AM THURSDAY,
  WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER
  LOW WATER.

* AT REHOBOTH BEACH, DELAWARE (OCEANFRONT) HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 133
  PM WEDNESDAY, WITH A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL NEAR 7.5 FEET ABOVE
  MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT 207 AM THURSDAY, WITH
  A FORECAST TIDE LEVEL OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
  WATER.

* HIGH TIDE ON THE BACK BAYS, ALONG DELAWARE BAY AND ALONG
  RARITAN BAY OCCURS LATER THAN THE HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEANFRONT.

* SEAS...WAVE HEIGHTS IN THE SURF ZONE ALONG THE COAST ARE
  EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE 6 TO 10 FOOT RANGE. WAVE HEIGHTS ON
  DELAWARE BAY SHOULD BE IN THE 2 TO 6 FOOT RANGE.

* IMPACTS...NUMEROUS ROADWAYS WILL FLOOD AND ADDITIONAL MINOR TO
  MODERATE PROPERTY DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE. THE ELEVATED TIDES WILL
  HAVE A NEGATIVE IMPACT ON RECOVERY EFFORTS. THE TIDES AND THE
  WAVE ACTION WILL RESULT IN ADDITIONAL MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH
  EROSION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING. PAY CLOSE ATTENTION
TO UPDATED FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. FOLLOW THE RECOMMENDATIONS OF LOCAL
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

FOR A LIST OF THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT TIDE HEIGHTS IN YOUR COUNTY
PLEASE GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/TIDES.HTM (ALL IN LOWER CASE).


This is a big problem because of Sandy. If not for Sandy it would be a big question mark on how early Winter is going to start this year. If not for Sandy it would be a chance to try on your new boots, coats, hats, etc and pretend it's December.

How will this storm play out? A good discussion is posted here:

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2287

Additionally... regarding the Election.. this storm will develop down to the south and move north.

It may affect the weather in Atlanta and the surrounding area.


TONIGHT
Showers Likely Chance for Measurable Precipitation 70%
Showers
Likely
Low: 45 °F
TUESDAY
Showers Chance for Measurable Precipitation 80%
Showers
High: 50 °F
TUESDAY
NIGHT
Slight Chance Showers Chance for Measurable Precipitation 20%
Slight Chc
Showers
Low: 41 °F
WEDNESDAY
Slight Chance Showers Chance for Measurable Precipitation 20%
Slight Chc
Showers
High: 54 °F
WEDNESDAY
NIGHT
Mostly Clear
Mostly
Clear
Low: 39 °F
THURSDAY
Sunny
Sunny
High: 61 °F


You know those people who are not in love with either candidate, had a long day, have a cold or just are
looking for any excuse not to vote and make that big decision. A sort of passive aggressive "well I was gonna go vote but...." may affect the vote there. Maybe not...but the possibility of weather affecting the weather on Election Day as this Winter storm revs up...is there.

There is also a sliver of a chance that the mountains north of Atlanta could get some snow flakes.. a bit of a kiss from Mother Nature, a reminder that winter is on it's way.

Savannah also has a rainy election day:




Chance Rain Chance for Measurable Precipitation 40%
Chance
Rain
Low: 48 °F
TUESDAY
Rain Likely Chance for Measurable Precipitation 60%
Rain
Likely
High: 57 °F
TUESDAY
NIGHT

Chance
Rain
Low: 39 °F
WEDNESDAY
Mostly Sunny
Mostly
Sunny
High: 61 °F













Another place that could be affected is Jacksonville, which could affect the Florida turnout as Jax usually votes different than Tampa and Miami.



TONIGHT
Slight Chance Rain Chance for Measurable Precipitation 10%
Slight Chc
Rain
Low: 54 °F
TUESDAY
Showers Chance for Measurable Precipitation 90%
Showers
High: 67 °F
TUESDAY
NIGHT
Chance Showers Chance for Measurable Precipitation 50%
Chance
Showers
Low: 47 °F
WEDNESDAY
Mostly Sunny
Mostly
Sunny
High: 64 °F














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