Nothing Going On in the Tropics
Oddly waves keep coming off of Africa, way too late in the season but they are there and they look viable ...until they hit the wall of shear from frontal boundaries that are draped down into the deep Tropical Atlantic.
Those blotchy sort of clouds behind the front are: COLD AIR..
The area that was a 20% circle has currently zero percent chances to organize, but they are still watching it to be careful. That is the job of the NHC...they watch whatever is out there for signs of life.
Sort of like atmospheric-oceanographic ET observers :)
The storm known as "Brutus" to TWC watchers is making it's way across the country and there is a possibility of a dusting of snow on areas that did not have snow in the forecast earlier in the week. Though "Brutus" has not produced the severe weather that many storm chasers had feared... it does seem to be colder than previously thought and possibly moving a drop slower.
Accuweather does not show the possibility of snow in parts of Iowa, the NWS and other weather services do and those forecasts will be updated in real time with this storm. It is marching East and though the Carolina region is basking in golden fall splendor with sunny skies this morning, tomorrow it may be a different story as the cold air comes back into the area.
And, it is stunningly beautiful here this morning.
In NY and NJ the clean up goes on.
This really is a long term problem and though I do not know why the National Guard was not activated early on... even so when homes are destroyed, houses have to be evaluated by insurance companies and the electrical grid we all rely on needs to be put back together... it's a long, long process.
Somehow people think it gets fixed in a week. It doesn't. You cannot put Jack and Jill back together again that soon. That is the sad truth. That is why this is such a tragic disaster.
I want to thank the people who have written from the NJ area concerning the destruction there and I would like to add.. I don't know that area well personally although I have a son who works around Edison NJ in an industrial complex that I was worried would be under water from Sandy. The facility where he works is several feet above ground and the water came within a foot or less than a foot of the loading dock. Power was out, but it was restored ... It's not easy for people who work there to get back and forth from Brooklyn where most of them live....they carpool. The company just moved there and my son will be moving soon, however the apartments that he and his friends were looking at need some renovation.
The aftermath from Sandy is a multi-layered problem much like the skins of an onion. You resolve one problem and then there is another underlying problem, or like trying to diagnosis a patient with multiple problems. It's not that easy. It's not Hollywood and hospitals don't all have "House" doctors on their staff... that is Hollywood...this is the real world.
And, with regard to Atlantic Heights...thank you so much for emailing me as I have wondered on that often and wondering also the last time they suffered a storm like this in history.
Let me say on Miami Beach ....which is as low lying as it gets... Alton Road which is a block from Biscayne Bay on the West side (inland) suffers massive flooding when there are storms that hit during high tides related to the moon. And, when I say "storms" I mean any big rain storm. It is normal. It's a pain and I have written about it.
There are pictures in the articles I am linking to... a few of many stories but the first I could find.
At the height of the flooding the bus rolls down the middle of the street and creates waves that wash their way into small storms as well as Whole Foods and it happens all the time. I worked a block from Collins Avenue that runs along the East side of Miami Beach.. a block from the ocean and we had one freak rainstorm and we had several inches of flooding inside our big building. Carpets needed to be replaced, torn up... it was a mess and it happens. Not from tidal flooding as much as we are so low to the water level there is no where for the water to go... until it runs off.
During a hurricane especially we know that Miami Beach can and has been under water from a storm surge. But, the damage from regular storm flooding is not the same as from a massive tidal surge that has traveled the length of the ocean and has waves whipped up on top of the mound of water by strong winds.
Prior to Hurricane Katrina there was a belief that if you were north of a certain spot in Gulfport and Biloxi you would be safe... The flooding water reached inland as far as I-10 and beyond.
Katrina set a new bar for inland flooding.
This is taken from the link below it.... says a lot.
"First Baptist Church of Gulfport, Downtown Gulfport. Photograph taken from near Marine Life located near the Gulfport Small Craft Harbor. Federal Courthouse in right background. Foreground is the remains of Jones Park. The First Baptist Church of Gulfport was used as the background for many broadcasts by Elizabeth Vargas of ABC Nightly News immediately following Hurricane Katrina.