Tropical Storm Leslie on Labor Day, Looking Better

This is an interesting link below, as rarely would an Upper Level Low show up on the IR, however I'm not sure this low is so upper level and therein is the kink in the forecast. Just east of Florida is a small twist that will become a player in the steering currents down the road for Leslie according to the models. http://www.intellicast.com/Storm/Hurricane/CaribbeanSatellite.aspx?animate=true Another image below shows the Upper Level Low near Florida that the models view as a game player.

The new discussion out of the NHC calls the intensification that was noticeable last night as: "A TREMENDOUS BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION CONTAINING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES OF -84C TO -88C HAS PERSISTED NEAR THE CENTER AND OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE FOR MORE THAN 6 HOURS. THE CLOUD CANOPY HAS GRADUALLY BEEN EXPANDING NORTHWARD...WHICH SUGGESTS THAT THE VERTICAL SHEAR IS NOT AS STRONG AS SOME OF THE MODELS HAVE BEEN INDICATING. " Which is a better explanation than last night when they called her an amorphous blob. As I have said in the past and I'll say it again, you need to maintain the tremendous burst of deep convection for six hours to get the attention of the guys at the NHC. Keep watching....I'll b e back later with more information on Tropical Storm Leslie and a longer post about the Labor Day Hurricane of 1935. Besos Bobbi