Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Friday, August 17, 2012

Will TD7 Come Back to Life? New CV Wave. Camille Remembered..


Is this the real thang? Hard to say.... wanna say but gotten so burned by these Cape Verde Waves so far this season.

Looks good. The last one looks good.

Models like it. Models liked the last one.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2012081706&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation


shows a nice cyclone....




Otherwise....we are tracking storms in the North Atlantic East Bound and the remnants of TD7 that is about to crash into Mexico with a sudden show of life that might be too little, too late.

Comments from NHC:


SPECIAL OUTLOOK ISSUED TO UPDATE DISCUSSION OF REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SEVEN IN THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO.

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM GORDON...LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 1100
MILES WEST OF THE AZORES.

1. UPDATED...THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO HAVE NOT YET BECOME SUFFICIENTLY
ORGANIZED TO CONSIDER THE SYSTEM A TROPICAL CYCLONE. HOWEVER...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM ARE ALREADY
AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE EAST COAST OF MEXICO...AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS STILL APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR FORMATION...AND
THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE AT ANY TIME IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE IT REACHES LAND.
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
OR WARNING WOULD LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST OF
MEXICO IF ADVISORIES ARE INITIATED. 

2. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED JUST WEST OF THE COAST OF AFRICA CONTINUES
TO PRODUCE AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...
10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH. 

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG/BRENNAN
NNNN

20120817.1445.goes13.x.ir1km_bw.94LINVEST.20kts-1009mb-116N-210W.100pc.jpg thumbnail
Is this going to really form? Time will tell and I'll be back to tell the details. 

Besos Bobbi

Ps............
The wave off of Africa looks better than TD7 if you ask me.  And, lastly... today is the anniversary of Hurricane Camille... a day filled with tremendous energy and a storm we learned so much from. Take a moment to remember what a real storm looked like... no comparison... not in my mind.







0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home