Miami, Monday Night From Inside A Rain Band of Fay

So much to say and yet too tired to think clearly.

The storm is moving very slowly. Officially at 11 it's moving north at a forward speed of 9 mph. I think it might be slower, seems to have missed the forecast point a drop south of it but it's an averaged speed and keep watching.

The SW side of the storm is intensifying or spreading out, getting deeper and those bands will spiral around anywhere from the Florida Keys to Miami, Ft Lauderdale and all the way up to WPB. When those bands slam into you it is fast and furious. One is coming now. I can hear it. Not quite a train sound but you hear the wind pick up and a whooshing sound and it descends on you FAST and goes by just as fast, the rain falling at angles, slamming into the ground, hits you like a pellet gun if you are outside. When at the beach like I was earlier you see it coming as a wall of white coming at you. The thinner and narrower and redder the bands are they are more prone to twisters or water sprouts so watch out! But, if you are asleep you can't see them coming at you so keep a weather radio with an alarm on so you can hear just in case you have a tornado warning. Better to wake up and go back to sleep and find out it's not near you than to not be aware. Knowledge is power.

There was a twister in Hallandale earlier, not at the beach but near I95 where my brother was driving earlier while I was at the beach and he told me it was "like a hurricane" and I suppose it was.. or a twister. Kendall has trees down, power out. Close to 10,000 people are currently without power.

As for landfall on the SW coast? Maybe Marco Island, as I said several times I cannot see this going in north of Naples. Warnings for Tampa and north were dropped. Naples and Marco Island are going to get slammed and I still think she is stronger. Why? Barometer dropped from 1003 to 998 yet the whole time they have maintained the wind speed at 60mph. Over six hours okay but over a whole day? No, I don't think so but the recon didn't pick up higher winds. Know why? It has a very small center, if a strongly defined center at all.

Rain band hitting, sounds like someone is throwing marbles at the window, nope not hail, I'm looking.

So... as Ed Rappaport said on the news earlier there are a lot of mixed signals. A lot of lightning around the storm and there was a report of hail and I felt very cold, cold rain earlier so it's quirky.

Going to go watch the rain fall, strong band now.

Here are some loops to play with... enjoy.

One thing I want to say over and over is to please just hunker down, listen to the rain fall, find your favorite weather man or put on your favorite music, cuddle up with the one you love or dream on the one you love. If you power goes out, stay inside and do not go walking around. Power lines are live not shut down like when we had Andrew. Streets are flooded and there is ponding. Just relax, watch the show or go to bed and in the morning we can see how much real weather we will get tomorrow.

Thanks for reading this .. I enjoy writing it.

Pressure here is 29.62. There may not be a lot of wind but that's lower than most Tropical Depressions and a few tropical storms I have seen.

Lastly... look to the east and you will see an area that the NHC is looking at for possible upgrade later this week. Tracks take it west..this way. GFDL brings it near Miami but well it always does that far out and then changes it's mind.

Get used to the sound of the name Gustav!

As for Fay, I am not going to even talk about the strangeness of the models as for now I have had enough of worrying on models, for tonight I am just going to listen to the rain fall and the wind whoosh by and hope that people in Marco Island or where ever don't get hit so hard by Fay.

Nite...Sweet Dreams of Rain Falling..

WV Loop or Images:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/sloop-wv.html
This shows that there is high pressure building a bit on her west, she starts out looking very ragged on the west side and then high pressure builds down on her side and then she looks cleaner, neater... high should begin to push her more to east as she tries to go north, very, very, very slowly.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html
Good loop. Shows the storm well.

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/trop_ge_wv_ls_0.html
(good color loop, can slow, stop, play with it...)

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/loop-wv.html

sentimental favorite - best trick... toggle back and forth in different windows the current with the -12 one. Easier to see than the loop sometimes.

http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/sat_wv_east_loop-12.html

Snakey, scarey loop that shows where the rain will go..

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/tpw2/natl/main.html


Here are some radars:
http://radar.weather.gov/radar_lite.php?rid=byx&product=NCR&loop=yes

http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/OneKM.aspx?animate=true

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=amx&product=NCR&overlay=11101111&loop=no

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?ID=AMX®ion=d5&lat=25.94311523&lon=-
81.71834564&label=Marco%20Island%2c%20FL

Blog:
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters