Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Monday, August 18, 2008

11PM Update.. NHC says NNW.. Is an Eye Like Feature Forming?? Monroe County Update Also



Check out this loop I think a real eye may form and she may become a minimal hurricane by landfall.

http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satellite/displaySat.php?region=TPA
&isingle=mult_big&itype=vis


I will be back later but wanted to post these thoughts briefly.

1) Eye like feature forming?

2) Info from Monroe County

3) Miami Shut downs..

Going to watch the news conferences out of Miami held live on TV.

My thoughts remain the same, storm comes in through the Keys and up to the north. I agree with the email that Monroe County sent out.. the storm is moving Northerly.

Please follow the storm as a whole and the whole cone.

Stay informed and do not turn your back on her and think "oh it's nothing" better be safe than sorry.

We have a tropical storm warning and a flood watch. There is localized flooding already.

For now this is a one two punch, rain today.. wind tomorrow.

School Closed Tomorrow.
County offices closing today at 1 PM.
All Govt Offices closed tomorrow.
Tolls lifted north bound on turnpike and in Miami Dade County.
Bridges on lock down at 3 PM.
Red Cross shelters opened at Krop Sr. High (PET FRIENDLY), Robert Morgan and Hialeah Sr. High.
Buses will stop running when winds hit 39mph sustained winds.. later tonight maybe.

They are asking people in mobile homes if you don't feel safe to go stay with friends on in a shelter.

Back later... oh and my son is coming in from Gan Izzy Camp LATER than expected so as they are just leaving Orlando I figure they won't get in until 3 or 4 when the stronger rain bands start coming through. Yup...when it rains it pours.. Lubavitch time, what can I say.... He'll be here tonight for the wind event.

And... for my friends and family ...this is why I did not wait and go to Postville for my grandson's bris because I knew this storm was coming in here for days and days now. Was evident from the look of the water vapor imagery and early models. And, I want to make sure the party hardy teens stay hunkered down safe tonight through the storm. Hey I may even party with them....safely of course.

More info to follow but for now here is an update from Monroe County.

Tropical Storm Fay Begins Northward Turn
Meteorologists: Expect Fay’s Sustained Tropical Storm-Force Winds to Begin in Keys at 2 p.m.

According to forecasters at the National Hurricane Center and Key West National Weather Service, Tropical Storm Fay has turned toward the north-northwest and is now moving at 12 mph. Fay has not strengthened and remains a moderate tropical storm with about 50 mph sustained winds. Fay should move into the Florida Straits later this morning, and after it does so, it will have the potential to strengthen slowly.

The storm’s projected future track has shifted to the right and now the center of Fay is expected to pass near or over the Lower Keys late Monday evening. Most of the heavy weather associated with Fay is located east of the storm center, thus numerous squalls with tropical storm force winds can be expected throughout all of the Keys and mainland south Florida.

Sustained tropical storm force winds (at least 39 mph) are expected to begin in the Lower and Mid Keys around 2 p.m. Monday afternoon and reaching the Upper Keys around 4 p.m. Monday, forecasters said.

Storm surge is not expected to be significant…likely around two to three feet above sea level after sunset Monday night… and continuing through the early morning hours Tuesday.

Rainfall of four to six inches is expected. Some areas may receive up to eight inches.

Weather conditions should begin to improve sometime Tuesday morning.

Key West International Airport is to suspend operations at 10 a.m. Monday. Greyhound Keys Shuttle manager Rick Warwick reports there is one scheduled bus set to leave Key West Monday morning at 8:55 a.m. with available seats. The bus stops in other Keys locations on its way to Miami International Airport. Call Greyhound at 1-800-410-KEYS for more information.

County and state parks are closed.

Four Keys shelters opened Sunday night to accommodate residents living in mobile homes, low-lying areas and boats.

Shelter locations are:
Key West High School on Flagler Avenue in Key West
Sugarloaf School on Crane Boulevard, bayside mile marker 19, Highway U.S. One
Stanley Switlik Elementary School at 3400 Overseas Highway in Marathon
Coral Shores High School, mile marker 90 on Highway U.S. One in Islamorada.

All protective actions should be rushed to completion.

Traffic is flowing smoothly this morning, according to the Monroe County Sheriff’s Office. Law enforcement officials strongly urge motorists to stay off roads during tropical storm-force conditions and add that the Overseas Highway (U.S. 1) is expected to remain open throughout the storm.

Monroe County’s Emergency Operations Center is fully activated. For Keys emergency-related questions call 1-800-955-5504.

###

Additional Resources:
Monroe County Emergency Information: (800) 955-5504
Keys Tourism Help Line: (800) 771-KEYS
Monroe County Situation Report: www.monroecounty-fl.gov
National Hurricane Center Web site: www.nhc.noaa.gov
Monroe County Sheriff’s Office: www.keysso.net
Keys Tourism Council: www.fla-keys.com

Contact: Becky Herrin, (305) 517-2481
Andy Newman, (305) 542-6014
St



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1 Comments:

At 9:11 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

So what ever happened to your...

The 11AM will show what is really happening and it should be very interesting.

The forecast points are way off and she is to the east of them.

The NHC did keep us with watches even though they moved the cone, now we have warnings.

Do not be surprised to see this as a Hurricane by landfall over the Upper Keys and moving towards the right not the left.

 

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