Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Atlantic

As predicted... was just a matter of time... has looked like a TD all morning since 1st visible!

Short term tropical storm possible if the NHC Discussion plays out.

Salient points:

"THE DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY IN DIFFLUENT FLOW ON THE NORTHEAST SIDE
OF AN UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC LOW NORTH OF PUERTO RICO. THE POSITION OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE RELATIVE TO THIS FEATURE SHOULD KEEP THE
WESTERLY SHEAR LOW ENOUGH DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS TO ALLOW
FOR SOME INTENSIFICATION WHILE THE DEPRESSION MOVES OVER WARM
WATERS.  BEYOND 36 HOURS...GLOBAL MODELS SHOW INCREASING WESTERLY
SHEAR THAT IS LIKELY TO CAUSE A DECOUPLING OF THE CYCLONE.
DISSIPATION IS FORECAST BY 96 HOURS...ALTHOUGH IT COULD OCCUR
SOONER. THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST IS NEAR THE SHIPS/LGEM OUTPUT
THROUGH 36 HOURS AND THE NEAR THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  21/1500Z 28.0N  55.1W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  22/0000Z 28.9N  54.1W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  22/1200Z 29.6N  52.5W   40 KT  45 MPH
 36H  23/0000Z 30.1N  50.5W   40 KT  45 MPH
 48H  23/1200Z 30.4N  48.9W   35 KT  40 MPH
 72H  24/1200Z 31.4N  46.5W   30 KT  35 MPH
 96H  25/1200Z...DISSIPATED"

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT3+shtml/211437.shtml?



Looking awfully Lorenzoish to me..

Big picture... definitely can see it from outer space...



Can also see Raymond.

Pretty far south of "the front" that brought whispers of frost in outlying areas to the Piedmont.
Note the next bigger "FRONT" should push it out to sea.  What's going on down by South America...wow. And Raymond getting stronger.

Check back later for all the weather details and as always...the devil is always in the details. 

Remember that. 

Besos Bobbi

Ps... Looking thru the Lorenzo files online...

Wow does this picture scream 80s or what? My gosh how did they get away with that ;)

"Lorenzo Lamas-Craig (born January 20, 1958) is an American actor. Lamas-Craig is known for playing Lance Cumson on the popular 1980s soap opera Falcon Crest"