NHC Survey... 10% Chance in the Atlantic.. Weak Chances

There is a weak area in the Atlantic that is highlighted by a yellow circle. To be honest, it might not make it through the night. That's right. Here today and gone tomorrow...

The discussion from the NHC doesn't hold out much hope...though there are chances it will stick around a little longer. I mean it's been lingering off the East Coast for what seems like weeks... why leave now?

The gray days of Autumn in the Carolinas and adjacent areas are partly due to this area and it's feedback moisture flow. You have to go all the way down to Florida to find any sunshine.

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IN THE VICINITY OF BERMUDA IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE LOW AND AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. THE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD NEAR OR ALONG A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT CURRENTLY
FAVORABLE FOR SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS.

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

FORECASTER BRENNAN

The part of the above report that is really relevant is the SURVEY that the NHC is asking viewers to fill out. This is YOUR chance to give them your input on their site and what you think of it.

PLEASE... please.... go to this site and do their survey. I did. It's worth doing and you learn some on things that you might not have realized were on their page. And, if you like or don't like something.. now is your time to tell them.

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

I'll be back tomorrow with more information on whether or not we do or don't have a chance for tropical development. Note two fronts are about to move through the SE... Cold Fronts. The second front is stronger than the first one... 





Besos Bobbi


Ps...How often does the government ask your opinion?? Go for it..