Hurricane Harbor: 11 AM on Isaac & Kirk & a Look Around the Web

Isaac is creating different situations for different folks in his path. For some it's the wind, for some it's the rain and for everyone it's the water damage...the flooding...the storm surge...the roof leaking.

Far to the East in Gulfport they are dealing with flooding and storm surge.

Lakeview, Louisiana also is having a flooding problem... though nothing like what Plaquemines Parish is dealing with and other places along the Bayou.

Excellent discussion from Mike which I am cutting and pasting. More direct and informative than the official forecast discussion from the NHC which is good but hard to understand.

The initial motion estimate is 310/5. Isaac is expected to move slowly northwestward through a weakness in the subtropical ridge for the next 24 hours...And then turn north-northwestward and northward around the western periphery of the ridge by 36 and 48 hours...Respectively. By 72 hours...Isaac is forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low pressure system that should move northeastward to east-northeastward when it will be caught up in weak mid-latitude westerlies. There are currently no indications in any of the model guidance suggesting that isaac will tap into any baroclinic energy sources that could result in extratropical strengthening over the central united states. The official track forecast is similar to the previous advisory track and is just east of the model consensus.

Excellent discussion really...

Everyone needs to remember this is not about the wind speed, but the slow movement, the lack of real forward speed and the duration he wanders over land while the steering currents bomb out and fade away leaving him behind to cause misery more from water than from wind. So, if they downgrade him to Tropical Storm Status or make a big deal about him being 75mph vs 80mph... don't pay attention to it... it's the forward speed to pay attention to in THIS CASE not the wind speed.

http://www.facebook.com/pages/Mikes-Weather-Page/88134562366

Kirk:

[Image of probabilities of tropical storm force winds]

out to sea...thankfully....

Models for "Leslie"

It indicates in the long term she stays out to sea, finds that weakness in the ridge and goes north, but a lot will depend on Isaac who is shown days from now hovering over Illinois and the Mississippi River Valley.

Time will tell .. but it's good to remember more systems are out there liken planes lined up on a busy day in Miami when snowbirds fly south for sunshine.

A look around the web and the coverage you can find...if you take a break from watching on TWC.