Three Tropical Stooges in the Atlantic

I'm never really sure if you should add up the percentages as the total sum of possible development or take them apart one by one.. Either way this morning the NHC has highlighted three areas on the tropical coloring map of the Atlantic.

Eenie would be where Emily left us hanging, on the tail end of an old frontal boundary. Basically it is showers lingering off the SE coast that are going nowhere but out to sea... but showing enough energy for it to get a 10% yellow crayon.

Miney would be the small wave that I like off of Africa, the newest one. It's only got a yellow crayon but I think down the road it will gain a few more colors of the rainbow and be a real contender despite his 20% chance of development.

Moe is in orange with a 30% chance of development. I'm surprised they have not upped that yet but they are probably playing coy with Moe. He's a hard worker, steady grower, eats well and maintains color. I think he's been working out at the gym, building up muscle and motion and moving west.

If you add that up there is a 60% chance of Tropical Development in the next few days, however I don't think that's what the Big Kahunas at the NHC had in mine when they started the colored circles and percentages game. But, I bet it works out mathematically just the same.

The first strong wave out in the Atlantic would move towards the Islands and South Florida and then curve up towards the Carolinas before most likely... heading out to sea. That's the early model output. Pescadado Fritos or is it Fritos Pescadado? Fried Fish for those who are language challenged.



The second wave behind it would theoretically stay a bit lower or do funky things should the first wave develop. Unless they stay too close together and don't give the other room to breathe, in which case we have Emily 2 in the Atlantic.



The area off the SE Coast of the US is RAIN... though it could kick up it's heels fast before flying out to sea, but very, very low chances there for that one...

As for me, I'm on the road again. I'll be back in Miami in a little over a week so am hoping to see that last wave up close and personal as it cruises by just off shore on it's way to causing tropical trouble. You never know... it's like playing Fantasy Hurricanes right now.

Emily is up there somewhere in the far right, top corner of the image... but we don't really want to talk on it as it is as out to sea as it gets and not a player here anymore, though still playing somewhere on it's way to England maybe and Europe or somewhere "over there" but not here, no, no, no...

Meanwhile...we are still looking for the first Hurricane of the 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season. It will happen, it's a sure thing trust me but which wave will be the one to catch...now that's another story.

Enjoy the day, enjoy the weather and remember to smile,

Besos Bobbi
Ps Play with the "Juice Loop" a bit. That first wave has a bigger roll on it than 30% would imply ...however, it's a B I G roll the size of Texas and sometimes the bigger they are the harder it is for them to form.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/tpw2/natl/anim/latest72hrs.gif