TD 2 Forms ... Soon to be Brett

Exact text from the NHC that is most relevant:

"INITIAL MOTION IS A SOUTHWARD DRIFT. STEERING CURRENTS ARE LIKELY
TO REMAIN QUITE WEAK OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AS THE SYSTEM IS
SITUATED IN A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. IN A COUPLE
OF DAYS...THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY AND THIS...ALONG WITH A
WEAK TROUGH PASSING NORTH OF THE CYCLONE...SHOULD INDUCE A GENERAL
NORTHEASTWARD MOTION. LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD"

Southward "drift" and then out to sea... supposedly.

Graphics:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/203313.shtml?5day?large#contents

Note: The next set of models should be better than the current ones, as they will have better data from the recon. For now... drifting south, bit by bit, latitude by latitude and then out to sea... supposedly.

Stay tuned for what seriously may be Brett in a few hours.

Welcome to the season of 2011 with a storm that is practically sitting on top of South Florida.

LOCATION...27.5N 78.2W
ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM NW OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...S OR 180 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


Chow for now, Bobbi

Ps Reality Check Time:

Waiting for a weak trof in a few days to take it away from South Florida is kinda iffy in my opinion, personally IF this develops anything can happen until this trof is not called "weak" and it stops "drifting south" into warmer water. A lot of weak words used in the discussion, would rather have stronger, more sure words with a storm this close to land.

"INITIAL MOTION IS A SOUTHWARD DRIFT. STEERING CURRENTS ARE LIKELYTO REMAIN QUITE WEAK OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AS THE SYSTEM IS
SITUATED IN A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. IN A COUPLE
OF DAYS...THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY AND THIS...ALONG WITH A
WEAK TROUGH PASSING NORTH OF THE CYCLONE...SHOULD INDUCE A GENERAL
NORTHEASTWARD MOTION."

You know what "crazy friend says" ??? Never use the "should" word... Stay tuned, developing ;)