Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Wednesday, August 10, 2005

Things Getting Real.. Irene Coming Together

People have stopped their bickering and suddenly started posting again.. at the City.

Haven't looked around too much today. Will look at flhurricane.com and read around town with some friends ..get their feelings. My brother Ronnie will call me at least once. Sharon will call up in Portland.. maybe it will make it up there..now that would be funny.

Either way..great post. Watch for upgrades throughout the day and the track to keep getting pulled a bit to the left.

She is hitting a hot spot in water temps... may intensify faster than most people thought she would.. not as fast as others would like.

Rev up those planes.. someone will go flying soon..

From HurrCity..

Posted by Gianmarc on 8/10/2005, 8:57 am
User logged in as: Gianmarc

Irene is quite obviously responding to the more favorable environment that has been awaiting her for days. As the NHC has said throughout that time, improving conditions in her path--including minimal shear and hot SSTs--could lead to intensification.
Well, the rapidly improving outflow of this system on the WV loop is, I think, the coming of something we've been waiting to see since the Dennis/Emily days. I like the sultry, low-shear environment she is in now, and I think we may have a chance for something that resembles what Bastardi called for in his am post today. I think he goes overboard (as usual) with his "cat 2 or 3" call, but it seems to me that we have a very good chance at seeing a minimal hurricane make landfall north of the Chesapeake region.

One factor that may bring Irene NW and NNW at a time precise enough to bring her to the New Jersey/L.I. region is the lingering ULL around 28N 78W, which is not nearly as well defined as it was days ago, but may be strong enough to leave just enough of a weakness in the high to allow Irene a NW turn.

I think that this system bears watching from now on. Conditions seem poised to remain favorable for the rest of the forecast period, that gulf stream is terribly warm (correct me if I am wrong, but we have warmer temps off Long Island than I have ever seen this time of year), and Irene has begun to really ventilate herself with impressive outflow that is probably a harbinger of things to come.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html

1 Comments:

At 8:14 PM, Blogger BO said...

GO CANES!!!!

 

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