Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Monday, July 28, 2014

Invest 93L Consolidating... TD3 or Tropical Storm Bertha Due Soon. East Coast/Carib Needs to Pay Attention.

Close up view of Invest 93L soon to be Tropical Storm Bertha.
The arrows or barbs... show the wind direction and yes this how we do it...
when they are far out beyond the realm of recon.

We also use a Dvorak rating. You'll see it mentioned below as 1.0

Notice the white dot in the middle of the darker dot... 
...her center is beginning to show up on satellite imagery.

Another view of Invest 93L tonight that shows the banding beginning to form within the storm.

I've highlighted the banding features in yellow.. 

She is a big girl gotta tell you that. 
If a storm could get an award for being 180 degrees different from the last...
she would win the award... 

And, she is beginning to come together fast this evening.

Where would she be going down the road. Um.... 
a) Towards the islands.
b) Towards South Florida
c) Towards the Carolinas
d) Going to catch a cold front & swim out to sea like a good Fish Storm

And that is why we obsess on Cape Verde Storms. They have a long way to go before all is said and done and their track can be iffy especially this time of year. 

Note models can and do change constantly in real time.

And more important that models on 93L is that there is a wave behind her...

A bit of a warning here tonight. IF Invest 93L becomes Bertha as the models predict she will catch every one's attention as she will be a large hurricane unable to ignore across a large swath of the East Coast and the Caribbean. If she got into the Gulf and NO MODEL SHOWS THAT NOW... add in that real estate there.

When there is a HUGE Hurricane on the map everyone gets nervous much the way that when the lotto goes really large everyone buys more tickets.

It's too soon to tell.

It is not too soon to realize that the early predictions for a quiet season with a strong El Nino can be tossed in the shredder or the nutribullet and we need to start over all over again with what we think the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season will bring... 

And, I'm not really happy that all the long range models were wrong. We need to rely on those models.

Stay tuned. We're in for a bumpy ride.

Sweet Tropical Dreams from Key West


Ps...C name is Cristobal


At 3:02 AM, Blogger Steve Finnell said...


"FOR"Defined: In order to obtain, to gain or acquire.

Matthew 26:28 for this is My blood of the covenant, which poured out for many for forgiveness of sins.

Jesus shed His blood "for" the forgiveness of the sins of all those who obey His terms for pardon. "For" means in order to obtain forgiveness. "For" did not mean that Jesus shed His blood because the forgiveness of sins had already been granted.

Acts 2:38 Peter said to them, Repent, and each of you be baptized in the name of Jesus Christ for the forgiveness of your sins; and you will receive the gift of the Holy Spirit.

Peter told them to repent, and be baptized "for" the forgiveness of sins. Peter did not tell them to repent, and be baptized because their sins had already been forgiven.

"For" means in order to obtain.
"For" does not mean already has obtained.

Although "for" is not stated in all of the follow Scriptures. "For" is certainly implied.

Ephesians 2:8 For by grace you have been saved through faith; and that not of yourselves, it is the gift of God;

Grace and faith are "for" salvation.
In order to obtain salvation, grace and faith are essential; grace precedes salvation and faith must precede salvation.

John 3:5 Jesus answered and said to him, "Truly, truly, I say to you, unless one is born of water and the Spirit he cannot enter the kingdom of God.

Being born of water and the Spirit are "for" entry into the kingdom of God. You must be born of water and the Spirit in order to obtain entry in the kingdom of God. You are not born of water and the Spirit because you are already a member of God's kingdom.

Titus 3:5 He saved us, not on the basis of deeds which we have done in righteous, but according to His mercy, by the washing of regeneration and renewing by the Holy Spirit,

God's mercy is "for" salvation. The washing of regeneration (that being water baptism) is "for" salvation. Renewing by the Holy Spirit is "for" salvation. God's mercy, the washing of regeneration (water baptism), and renewing by the Holy Spirit are all in order to obtain salvation. God's mercy precedes salvation. You are not baptized because you are already saved. You are not renewed by the Holy Spirit because you have already been saved.

Romans 10:9 that if you confess with your mouth Jesus as Lord, and believe in your heart that God raised Him from the dead, you will be saved;

Confessing Jesus as Lord is "for" salvation. Believing in your heart that God raised Jesus from the grave is "for" salvation. Confessing Jesus as Lord and believing God raised Him from the dead is in order to obtain salvation. You do not confess Jesus as Lord and believe God raised Him from the dead because you have already been saved.

Mark 16:16 He who has believed and been baptized shall be saved; but he who has disbelieved shall be condemned.

Believing is "for" salvation. Being baptized is "for" salvation. Belief and water baptism are in order to obtain salvation.
You do not believe because you have already been saved. You are not baptized because you have already been saved.

"FOR" means in order to obtain.

Jesus shed is blood in order that men might obtain forgiveness from sin. IT WAS "FOR" THE FORGIVENESS OF SINS. (Matthew 26:28)

Men repent and are baptized in water so that they may obtain forgiveness from sins. THEY DO IT "FOR" THE FORGIVENESS OF SINS.(Acts 2:38)

Although many claim that the "for" in Acts 2:38 really means ",because of" there is not one translation that I know of that translates it that way.

(All Scripture quotes from: NEW AMERICAN STANDARD BIBLE)
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