Philippe Fighting with 91L Over What's Left of the Energy in the MDR (Kind of Ugly Battle) Does Rina Form? Carib in October Usually Hot. Thoughts on Tale of 2 Seasona and El Nino

 

Philippe is still alive.

And, now gets into the Islands...

...as a TD maybe.

A lot of maybe there.

Weak goes West.

May work in it's favor.

Rina has not developed yet.

But it's forever 90% it seems.

That's Rina above if and when it forms.

Hate to see NHC have to walk that back...

...long walk from 90%!

Note some tracks are tracking West.

Others try to make a break for the NATL

Time will tell.

The ending isn't written yet.

Tho someone etched it in on their note cards.

This Hurricane Season so far has been a tale of 2 seasons. 

The HOT MDR where weak storms formed until they got to NATL and got strong. Didn't want to go.

Will anyone but Phil Klotzbach remember them??

And Mets want to argue El Nino isn't a thing.

Yeah, right. Sure...

Shut down the Carib and GOM fairly well.

!!!

Our first GOM system went backwards from almost N FL to Cuba before NHC pulled the plug.

Idalia, people will remember, seeded from the EPAC which is fine...as they owed us.

A strong wave that could never get going ....got going in EPAC and traveled most of the Pacific.

So you can all talk about how El Nino didn't really impact 2023 because... MDR blah blah blah hot water and we are running out of names blah blah blah ............. again I don't chase nor track ACE.

So what happens in the Carib as we move towards October as our attention does move there usually in most seasons. And, anything that forms down below must be watched up above, especially in Florida. 

Philippe might limp into Carib region on gas fumes depending on what happens with Invest 91L that was set to be Rina but it won't let go and it's zapping energy from Philippe and then Philippe zaps it back from 91L ...gotta tell you that's leaving a bad taste in my mouth personally. We saw this often in the beginning of the season when those wild waves over the very hot water kept pulling energy from each other and here we are again on September 27th with not much to write about....

Expectations in October for numerous reasons but easily speaking there's a huge moisture surge, lowered pressures and dangling fronts and some westbound tropical systems falling apart will all collide down the tropical road and then we will see what will happen. Because El Nino it's more logical to think something forms closer to Cuba/PR ... Florida Straits gets into Gulf of Mexico maybe and then develops where it's more friendly or we have another Nicole like system (that was fun have to say, wild sea foam maker) or another Close In ....Home Grown ...Surprise System. And, for all the HOT WATER in the MDR there were very few long tracking African Waves that made it even to 75 West... so yeah we are waiting to see what happens in a week to ten days (or less if there's a "surprise" pop up system.

Have a wonderful day. Hope you're getting the type of weather you want and if not I hope you have the time and money to go somewhere it is!

My daughter who is Copenhagen today (Sweden yesterday) says YOLO!! 

Besos (Means Kisses by the way ...that's what we say in Miami)

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram

I'd say Sweet Tropical Dreams but currently I'm in a F Scott Fitzgerald or Zelda mood and more into Winter Dreams.

Ps I watched TWC today and all I want to know is why is the young guy screaming the forecast as if he's at a State Fair trying to sell Cotton Candy ...does he think only old ppl watch TWC they have hearing aids and are on River Cruises talking to their friends from highschool on their cell phones. Stop screaming... and someone explain to Abrams that FLL wouldn't have so much rain if not for that one event that lasted about 7 hours and gave them more rain out of nowhere ...the rain bomb that hit Port Everglades and FLL airport otherwise they'd be in a bad drought too ...because we get rain from tropical waves, tropical depressions, tropical storms and they all turned RIGHT and went North. But I digress. Cantore, as always, is golden.... he's a National Treasure more people should learn to show the weather the way he does ...like Paul Goodloe who is always Good too!

Yes in a mood.

Ps cute fun song

But Havana Oooh Na Nah is sexier.