911 Memories. Prime Time. Peak of Hurricane Season. Texas Trouble (Possibly Louisiana) and SE Trouble. A Week of Home Grown Trouble in the Tropics.

So let's talk about the close in circles.

Fruit loops in the tropics.

Red Circle 90%

Yellow Circle pay attention.

Later we can talk on the distant ones.

94L is ready to pop.

NHC has it at RED alert 90%

So any day now.... 

Models currently keep it low intensity.

But a big intensity rain maker problem is possible.

The close in red circle now Invest 94L should be the next named storm ... doesn't get more than 90% chances.  It's a rainmaker, and that is an issue. Also if models are correct this slides along the coast from Mexico to Texas somewhere with the rain heading inland into areas that do not need more rain.  As always I prefer to wait for a closed center to really develop before I take the "coastal creeping route" vs further out into the Gulf of Mexico. Late Saturday night update to say "this is happening" and pay attention if you live anywhere along the Western/Northern GOM. 

This really needs to be watched.

I mentioned the yellow area off the SE coast a few times recently. This is a classic close in development possibility and if it develops it could be a huge problem for the East Coast. Watching it  carefully in North Carolina, though I know many further up the coast are watching and worrying. Things change fast with models so again let's see if it develops and where it develops etc. I sound like a  broken record here but freaking out over distant models is not beneficial, but it's important to monitor it and all the various changes.

 

Again nothing is there currently, this is all based on modeling and the set up that could produce to close in systems that could impact many people.

Today was a heavy day for many as it was the 20th anniversary of 911. I've talked on this before, but the reality is everyone sees it from their own perspective. My son is doing an Instagram Live talking to friends about it and several of the people were from New York, lived there when it happened and were students in college. They keep talking on the NY Blackout that happened a month or so before. I always connect it to sitting talking about the tropics with a friend and suddenly no one talked anymore about the tropics. And, yet had Hurricane Erin moved to the New York area as some had wondered if it could do, perhaps it would have changed history as we know it as flights might have been cancelled. And the irony is I have to remember that there was actually a hurricane or what we were tracking. 

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/september-11-hurricane-erin-missed-east-coast

I have to always look up the storm to remember what we were talking on before everyone was speechless. And, I remember my first thought oddly was I suppose going on autmoatic and I thought "this is the story of the year" (after the first plane) then thought to myself, "no this is the story of the decade" and that's how someone thinks who took a whole lot of journalism classes. I saw every WW2 war movie with Japenese planes diving into ships at sea and many of us thought this would be the beginning of WW3. 

It changed all of us in different ways.

It hits us all differently and yet it hits us all the same in that it's been 20 years and we are still somewhat shocked it happened and shocked it ended there. Many of us thought there would be more acts of terrorism seeing how this was such a large, coordinated attack. 

So for those who died and for those who cried and for those of us who always remember where we were when the world stopped turning.... it's a humbling, horrific memory and for others who are young, they only know of it as a story on the news that older people tell. 

Stay tuned. 

Things are going to get busy in the tropics this week and I'm not talking about those dsistant waves, but ones that are close in are threats that need to be watched carefully!

Besos BobbiStorm 

@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fEVzO1ApEzU