Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Thursday, July 02, 2020

Watching Soem Areas But Nothing Expected To Form For a While... Model Discussion and Dancing Tropical Dreams




Remember that old song "second verse, same as the first" ???

It still applies and the chorus is still the same. Nothing going on today. Maybe in a week or so.

The GFS tries very hard to produce something and finally halfway through July finds a hurricane. The EURo has moved on and is prospecting in a different area off the coast of the Carolinas. If you were going to prospect for gold or a hurricane where would you go? Watch some wave go viral and surprise them both. Seriously, the one thing you can rely on is it's hot, it's July and the High is anchored in place. 

allfcsts_loop_ndfd.gif (799×559)


Note the H in the Gulf of Mexico.
A blue H holds strong.
Little red Ls come off the coast of the Carolinas.


The little red ball is the area many are watching.
The red blobs is another area.
Does the little red ball hook up with the blobs?
Or take a July 4th Vacation across North Florida?
Time will tell.
But no fireworks are expected this morning.
But voyeuristically we will watch ;)

I caught a bit of TWC this morning and Abrams was explaining how a stationary front is not really stationary. She's right in a way as it flutters like a flag and energy along the frontal boundary bounces around within the whole "stationary frontal boundary" and that is why some people watch one part of the front expecting a Low to form and others see a hurricane forming at the other end. What we do is wait for the quasi stationary front to begin actually moving and the pattern to unlock and then we see what really will happen. Until then it's a crap shoot. Just being honest.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf&region=atl&pkg=mslpaNorm
Here's the link to the EURO... feel free to look for the GFS.
Hint all the models are at the top left of www.spaghettimodels.com and you can if you desire spend the whole day trying to see all the different displays of the models and try and figure out which is better than the other.

I'm going to enjoy my day. Well I'm gonna try as there are no guarantees these days in life but if you hold onto the reciept TJMaxx will do returns and if you lose the receipt you may be up the creek depending on who is on the register at any given day.  Oh that applies at Sephora and Victoria's Secret as well as Belk Stores who are the best at being kind to their patrons. Now you know the rest of the story.

Isn't this beautiful?


I knew I had become a Carolina Girl...
..when I thought on moving closer ot the beach.
The South Carolina beach not the Keys.
Heavenly beautiful.
Where Low Country meets the sky.

Have a great day. If the NHC bites and puts up some 10% Yellow Circle I will update at the top of today's blog. Have a good day.

Sweet Tropical Dreams,
BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram

Ps... I studied Drama when young and dance obviously. My friend and I did this cute little dance routine in bikinis because it was summer in Miami and it was hot and we were bored and that's what dance kids did when they were bored in the summer in Miami when it was hot; that and hope a hurricane came to blow our boredome away. Because reallly who doesn't like songs like this so if the song doesn't get you picture that visual. We weren't great at singing, but no one cared I promise you. Yeah, because we were great dancers ;)



Gee he looks a bit like Boris, wonder if he's related? (there's no hurricanes I can wonder on stuff like that and ponder it)

See that's why Jimmy Buffet knows it's good to have girls dancing on stage with him. Note he's got pretty good legs himself and that's good considering he does wear shorts often but he's always got girls dancing also. Can you do the Hula?



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