A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!
Wednesday, October 05, 2016
Matthew Eye Visible... Will it Intensify Overnight? Headed Towards FL. Will Space Coast Get Their First Major Cane? Or Strong Cat 2? Only Time Will Tell...
NHC Cone 11 PM
I'll show the 5 Day Cone Later.
The 3 Day is the important Cone.
First things first.
Florida is first.
Showing this image as Matthew is now showing up.
Close to Florida.
Moisture to the N of it.
Famous fast moving Water Vapor Loop
Matthew taking the easy way as most Canes do..
Note Nicole to it's East.
Ridge pushing West.
You can see the moisture feed streaming N
You can see how this might loop... or stall a bit.
Looks pretty good to me.
Better than it did.
Eye very visible there.
NRL Map shows the same story.
NRL Map. Shows track touching the coast with a landfall.
Also shows it close to the Carolinas.
Then the big possible loop.
Home Run as Canadian Map shows the same.
Now the question is will it be a Major Cane? Reason I ask is Hurricane History.
No Major Cane has hit that area...
I'm big into Climo.
It's boring sometimes but more often right than wrong.
So stay tuned.
Keeping this brief and I'll update in the morning. By then we will see if Matthew has intensified or not. The discussion from the NHC explains their thought process. Beven does a good job, please read it. The point I consider most salient is shown below as a teaser.
Location: Miami, Raleigh, Crown Heights, Florida, United States
Weather Historian. Studied meteorology and geography at FIU. Been quoted in Wall Street Journal, Washington Post & everywhere else... Lecturer, stormchaser, writer, dancer. If it's tropical it's topical ... covering the weather & musing on life. Follow me on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/#!/BobbiStorm