10% in 2 days
20% in 5 days
Really low down there.
Where it needs to be.
SAL is there as well.
Moving about 15 mph W to WNW.
Seems to be moving faster.
Strong high steering it.
View from Africa as 98L races off to the West.
If models are right this system is forecast to be a Fish system.
Intensifying fast, pulling further to the North..
..ending up in cooler waters.
Way too early to tell.
Never buy the first model runs..
If this system battles shear and dry air...
...doesn't intensify as fast it will move West...
I'll tell you what's interesting.
Usually the media in NC has ignored these waves.
Not today, the "tropical update" in Raleigh...
....pointed to this distant wave.
Partially because we are getting closer to that time of year.
Also because many of the hurricanes that make it to NC...
...start out by the Cape Verde Islands.
Pretty solid core of convection out there far away.
I'll explain the steering currents...
..the problems 98L will encounter as it tries to attain the name..
For now know it's out there.
And models develop a second storm as well.
There's one thing for sure.
We be tracking.
I only wish forecasts for floods were taken as seriously...
...as waves far off in the Atlantic Ocean.
Very sad to think the people caught in the Louisiana Flooding..
...could have been better prepared.
@bobbistorm on Twitter
Ps..This wave has miles to go before we sleep.
But it's worth watching one for the wave..
..and two for the evolution of the 2016 Hurricane Season